While it will hardly come as a surprise to anyone following China’s dismal attempts at reflating the economy, which on Monday we learned translated into the lowest Aggregate Financing print since the series was established…
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Source: Bloomberg
… reaffirming Beijing’s impotence at stimulating the all-important credit impulse which is barely above cycle lows…
Will Dems’ targeting of California GOP-turned-Indie congressman ‘Pan’ out?
Interest rate cut not likely on the table, even after Iran deal and somewhat falling oil prices
UN’s Albanese faces uphill battle with First Amendment case seeking to end sanctions against her
US military kills three ‘narco-terrorists’ in latest lethal strike on vessel in the Eastern Pacific
Judge orders ICE to free Wisconsin mosque leader over ‘substantial’ free speech claim after criticizing Israel
Illegal Alien Who Raped the Body of a Dead Man for 30 Minutes on NYC Subway Learns His Fate
Top GOP lawmaker rallies around conservative school board member facing calls to resign
Comedian Carlos Mencia Facing Criminal Charges in LA, District Attorney Announces
Man fired by firm after viral video shows him scolding dad for taking young daughters into women’s restroom
Rutte urges NATO countries to take advantage of Ukrainian ‘window of opportunity’
Obama Center’s opening ceremony ridiculed for far-left ritual before star-studded show
Florida man indicted for allegedly plotting mass shooting targeting Jewish employees at advocacy organization
WATCH: Dem candidate grilled on stock trading after being duped with selfie request
Video: 2 Black Teens Rob White Kids’ Lemonade Stand at Gunpoint… as Race-Baiters Demand ‘Justice’ for So-Called White Oppression
Read It: The Spiteful 3-Word Tweet That Cost California Liberals Up to $100 Billion and Elon Musk
Source: Bloomberg
… tonight’s macro data dump from China is expected to show continued slowing from Q3’s disappointing GDP print.
Bloomberg Economics’ Chang Shu notes that the October activity data are likely to show weakness continuing to spread across China’s economy, as companies adjusted to an additional 15% U.S. tariffs on $110 billion of Chinese goods in September.
- China Industrial Production MEET +5.6% YoY vs +5.6% YoY Exp
- China Retail Sales MISS +7.2% YoY vs +7.8% Exp
- China Fixed Asset Investment MISS +5.2% YoY vs +5.4% Exp.
- China Property Investment FELL to +10.3% YoY from +10.5% YoY
- China Surveyed Jobless Rate FELL to 5.1% from 5.2%
Will Dems’ targeting of California GOP-turned-Indie congressman ‘Pan’ out?
Interest rate cut not likely on the table, even after Iran deal and somewhat falling oil prices
UN’s Albanese faces uphill battle with First Amendment case seeking to end sanctions against her
US military kills three ‘narco-terrorists’ in latest lethal strike on vessel in the Eastern Pacific
Judge orders ICE to free Wisconsin mosque leader over ‘substantial’ free speech claim after criticizing Israel
Illegal Alien Who Raped the Body of a Dead Man for 30 Minutes on NYC Subway Learns His Fate
Top GOP lawmaker rallies around conservative school board member facing calls to resign
Comedian Carlos Mencia Facing Criminal Charges in LA, District Attorney Announces
Man fired by firm after viral video shows him scolding dad for taking young daughters into women’s restroom
Rutte urges NATO countries to take advantage of Ukrainian ‘window of opportunity’
Obama Center’s opening ceremony ridiculed for far-left ritual before star-studded show
Florida man indicted for allegedly plotting mass shooting targeting Jewish employees at advocacy organization
WATCH: Dem candidate grilled on stock trading after being duped with selfie request
Video: 2 Black Teens Rob White Kids’ Lemonade Stand at Gunpoint… as Race-Baiters Demand ‘Justice’ for So-Called White Oppression
Read It: The Spiteful 3-Word Tweet That Cost California Liberals Up to $100 Billion and Elon Musk
This is the equal weakest retail sales growth since 2003 and weakest Fixed-Asset Investment growth since 1998..
Source: Bloomberg
This data confirms that China’s economy slowed further in October, signaling, as Bloomberg’s Miao Han notes, that policy makers’ piecemeal stimulus is failing to boost output and investment amid ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. and subdued domestic demand.
As a reminder, there was the surprising divergence in the two manufacturing PMI readings, with the “official” version weakening, and the Caixin-labeled version strengthening.
Will Dems’ targeting of California GOP-turned-Indie congressman ‘Pan’ out?
Interest rate cut not likely on the table, even after Iran deal and somewhat falling oil prices
UN’s Albanese faces uphill battle with First Amendment case seeking to end sanctions against her
US military kills three ‘narco-terrorists’ in latest lethal strike on vessel in the Eastern Pacific
Judge orders ICE to free Wisconsin mosque leader over ‘substantial’ free speech claim after criticizing Israel
Illegal Alien Who Raped the Body of a Dead Man for 30 Minutes on NYC Subway Learns His Fate
Top GOP lawmaker rallies around conservative school board member facing calls to resign
Comedian Carlos Mencia Facing Criminal Charges in LA, District Attorney Announces
Man fired by firm after viral video shows him scolding dad for taking young daughters into women’s restroom
Rutte urges NATO countries to take advantage of Ukrainian ‘window of opportunity’
Obama Center’s opening ceremony ridiculed for far-left ritual before star-studded show
Florida man indicted for allegedly plotting mass shooting targeting Jewish employees at advocacy organization
WATCH: Dem candidate grilled on stock trading after being duped with selfie request
Video: 2 Black Teens Rob White Kids’ Lemonade Stand at Gunpoint… as Race-Baiters Demand ‘Justice’ for So-Called White Oppression
Read It: The Spiteful 3-Word Tweet That Cost California Liberals Up to $100 Billion and Elon Musk
Source: Bloomberg
Dow futures are exuberantly surging overnight as yuan continues to slide – disagreeing vehemently over the chances of a US-China trade deal after their joint celebrations last week…
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, as we just noted, The National Institution for Finance and Development (NIFD) on Wednesday said that China’s economic growth rate will slow to 5.8% in 2020 from an estimated 6.1% this year, a number which is already quite ambitious, not to say artificially goalseeked.
Will Dems’ targeting of California GOP-turned-Indie congressman ‘Pan’ out?
Interest rate cut not likely on the table, even after Iran deal and somewhat falling oil prices
UN’s Albanese faces uphill battle with First Amendment case seeking to end sanctions against her
US military kills three ‘narco-terrorists’ in latest lethal strike on vessel in the Eastern Pacific
Judge orders ICE to free Wisconsin mosque leader over ‘substantial’ free speech claim after criticizing Israel
Illegal Alien Who Raped the Body of a Dead Man for 30 Minutes on NYC Subway Learns His Fate
Top GOP lawmaker rallies around conservative school board member facing calls to resign
Comedian Carlos Mencia Facing Criminal Charges in LA, District Attorney Announces
Man fired by firm after viral video shows him scolding dad for taking young daughters into women’s restroom
Rutte urges NATO countries to take advantage of Ukrainian ‘window of opportunity’
Obama Center’s opening ceremony ridiculed for far-left ritual before star-studded show
Florida man indicted for allegedly plotting mass shooting targeting Jewish employees at advocacy organization
WATCH: Dem candidate grilled on stock trading after being duped with selfie request
Video: 2 Black Teens Rob White Kids’ Lemonade Stand at Gunpoint… as Race-Baiters Demand ‘Justice’ for So-Called White Oppression
Read It: The Spiteful 3-Word Tweet That Cost California Liberals Up to $100 Billion and Elon Musk
This, as the SCMP notes, is at the bottom end of China’s target range of 6 to 6.5% growth for 2019, and further indicates the continued downward pressure on the economy from the trade war with the United States as well as domestic headwinds.
“The economic slowdown is already a trend,” said former central bank adviser Li Yang, who heads the institute that is affiliated to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS).
“We must resort to deepened supply-side structural reform to change it or smooth the slowdown, rather than solely rely on monetary or fiscal stimulus.”
The institute’s forecast is in line with the International Monetary Fund, and indicates the challenge that policymakers face to achieve the above 6% growth rate needed in 2019 and 2020 to reach the government’s goal of doubling GDP in 2020 compared to its 2010 level.
As a reminder, a GDP growth rate below 6% would be the first time since the aftermath of the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown.
Finally, we note that Navarro and his trade hawks in the White House will be pleased at these weak numbers. President Trump has repeatedly said that China needs a deal more than the U.S. does, and these numbers as leverage in their negotiations.
Story cited here.
