Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
El Sayed celebrates ‘delicious irony’ that ‘habibi’ Vance has to swear him in: ‘Call me senator’
Breaking: Mike Johnson Bows Out as House Republican Leader
Majority of Americans broadly reject socialist ideology even as far left surges to power
Democrats seize majority of governors’ offices in election-night shift
Scott Jennings Highlights the ‘Silver Lining’ Hidden in Republicans’ Midterm Disaster
Crashed Learjet Audio Recorded Months Ago Captured Exasperated ATC Ordering Male, Female Pilots to Correct Flight Maneuver
After Feigning Concern About Affordability for Months, Top Dem Reveals It’s All Just About Lawfare Now That They Control Congress: ‘LAWYER UP’
From Texas to Kansas, 6 stunning midterm results that upended the political map
Meet the far-left socialists coming to Congress next year
Former Republican Kevin Kiley loses to Richard Pan in California’s 6th District
Blue wave sweeps Democrats into power and more top headlines
Nawrocki urgently seeking US troops in Poland amid high court ‘coup d’etat’ supported by EU
El-Sayed mocks Trump, Vance and Rogers in gloating victory speech signaling combative tone in Senate
Dem AG pulls off upset of sitting Republican governor after blistering campaign in key swing state
Abdul el Sayed defeats Mike Rogers in Michigan race, poised to become first Muslim senator
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
El Sayed celebrates ‘delicious irony’ that ‘habibi’ Vance has to swear him in: ‘Call me senator’
Breaking: Mike Johnson Bows Out as House Republican Leader
Majority of Americans broadly reject socialist ideology even as far left surges to power
Democrats seize majority of governors’ offices in election-night shift
Scott Jennings Highlights the ‘Silver Lining’ Hidden in Republicans’ Midterm Disaster
Crashed Learjet Audio Recorded Months Ago Captured Exasperated ATC Ordering Male, Female Pilots to Correct Flight Maneuver
After Feigning Concern About Affordability for Months, Top Dem Reveals It’s All Just About Lawfare Now That They Control Congress: ‘LAWYER UP’
From Texas to Kansas, 6 stunning midterm results that upended the political map
Meet the far-left socialists coming to Congress next year
Former Republican Kevin Kiley loses to Richard Pan in California’s 6th District
Blue wave sweeps Democrats into power and more top headlines
Nawrocki urgently seeking US troops in Poland amid high court ‘coup d’etat’ supported by EU
El-Sayed mocks Trump, Vance and Rogers in gloating victory speech signaling combative tone in Senate
Dem AG pulls off upset of sitting Republican governor after blistering campaign in key swing state
Abdul el Sayed defeats Mike Rogers in Michigan race, poised to become first Muslim senator
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
