Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Minnesota attorney general says Somali Muslims have been defrauded by housing scheme claiming to be sharia-compliant
Judge bars Kennedy Center board from putting Trump’s name on building at all
Pentagon Inspector General Says Iran War Has Caused ‘Strategic Inventory Shortfalls’ of U.S. Munitions
Former CNN Host Reveals Father Beat Her Until She Was ‘Black and Blue’
Lindsay Clancy judge indefinitely impounds juror names, citing safety and ‘divisive’ attention
Army veteran paratrooper who deployed to Iraq, Afghanistan before helping rescue Fox News reporter dead at 50
China expert warns Beijing wants Americans — not the CCP — to spread its message
Oil squeeze tightens as Iran-backed attacks cripple Hormuz escape routes
Many RNC Convention Attendees Balked at Trump’s Plan to Cut $5K Checks for Americans
Tucker Carlson Defends El-Sayed on 9/11, Condemns His GOP Opponent Mike Rogers
Smithsonian’s dark take on America exposed: Washington dubbed ‘town destroyer,’ Revolutionary War ‘dangerous’
Alito, Thomas shred ‘Hail Mary’ challenge to federal ballot mail rules in dissent
Surrogate who refused abortion asks SCOTUS to intervene as baby could be moved out of Texas
Georgia mayor, 23, ousted 10 months after making history as state’s youngest mayor
Republicans Attack GOP Candidate for Pointing Out How Many Foreign Students Attended Texas-Ohio State Game
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Minnesota attorney general says Somali Muslims have been defrauded by housing scheme claiming to be sharia-compliant
Judge bars Kennedy Center board from putting Trump’s name on building at all
Pentagon Inspector General Says Iran War Has Caused ‘Strategic Inventory Shortfalls’ of U.S. Munitions
Former CNN Host Reveals Father Beat Her Until She Was ‘Black and Blue’
Lindsay Clancy judge indefinitely impounds juror names, citing safety and ‘divisive’ attention
Army veteran paratrooper who deployed to Iraq, Afghanistan before helping rescue Fox News reporter dead at 50
China expert warns Beijing wants Americans — not the CCP — to spread its message
Oil squeeze tightens as Iran-backed attacks cripple Hormuz escape routes
Many RNC Convention Attendees Balked at Trump’s Plan to Cut $5K Checks for Americans
Tucker Carlson Defends El-Sayed on 9/11, Condemns His GOP Opponent Mike Rogers
Smithsonian’s dark take on America exposed: Washington dubbed ‘town destroyer,’ Revolutionary War ‘dangerous’
Alito, Thomas shred ‘Hail Mary’ challenge to federal ballot mail rules in dissent
Surrogate who refused abortion asks SCOTUS to intervene as baby could be moved out of Texas
Georgia mayor, 23, ousted 10 months after making history as state’s youngest mayor
Republicans Attack GOP Candidate for Pointing Out How Many Foreign Students Attended Texas-Ohio State Game
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
