Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Top Dem beats progressive who likened himself to Bernie Sanders in closely watched race
‘Party of Zohran’: Mamdani emerges as Democratic kingmaker after socialist allies sweep NYC primaries
Mamdani-backed socialist with history of anti-American rhetoric wins vicious Dem primary race
GOP voters pick Trump-backed nominee in battle to flip crucial House seat
Meet the Republican challengers vying to unseat New York’s congressional Democrats
Investigators revisit Florida serial killer case as search resumes for possible additional victims
Iranian World Cup Fans Defy Regime and FIFA with Banned Displays of Resistance
Biden-appointed judge ripped after blocking ICE arrests at immigration courts
Video: Facing 20 Years, $250k Fine, Nazi-Obsessed, Anti-ICE Woman Pleads Guilty to Punching Officer in Face
Florida man allegedly kidnapped teen girl and hid her inside a clothes dryer before she called 911
Coffee Shop in NYC in Full Retreat After Hateful Attack on Jewish Congressman Backfires in Every Way Possible
Liberalism in Action: San Francisco Media Bemoans Drop in Car Break-Ins Because Auto Repair Shops Are Losing Business
Dozens of Dem Lawmakers Push to Make Sure Parents Can’t Tell If Kids’ TV Shows Push Transgender Ideology
Illegal Alien Teacher Arrested for Allegedly Aiding Tren de Aragua Mass Shooting
Trump endorsement streak gets unusual boost with South Carolina GOP governor nomination
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Top Dem beats progressive who likened himself to Bernie Sanders in closely watched race
‘Party of Zohran’: Mamdani emerges as Democratic kingmaker after socialist allies sweep NYC primaries
Mamdani-backed socialist with history of anti-American rhetoric wins vicious Dem primary race
GOP voters pick Trump-backed nominee in battle to flip crucial House seat
Meet the Republican challengers vying to unseat New York’s congressional Democrats
Investigators revisit Florida serial killer case as search resumes for possible additional victims
Iranian World Cup Fans Defy Regime and FIFA with Banned Displays of Resistance
Biden-appointed judge ripped after blocking ICE arrests at immigration courts
Video: Facing 20 Years, $250k Fine, Nazi-Obsessed, Anti-ICE Woman Pleads Guilty to Punching Officer in Face
Florida man allegedly kidnapped teen girl and hid her inside a clothes dryer before she called 911
Coffee Shop in NYC in Full Retreat After Hateful Attack on Jewish Congressman Backfires in Every Way Possible
Liberalism in Action: San Francisco Media Bemoans Drop in Car Break-Ins Because Auto Repair Shops Are Losing Business
Dozens of Dem Lawmakers Push to Make Sure Parents Can’t Tell If Kids’ TV Shows Push Transgender Ideology
Illegal Alien Teacher Arrested for Allegedly Aiding Tren de Aragua Mass Shooting
Trump endorsement streak gets unusual boost with South Carolina GOP governor nomination
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
