Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Biden special counsel’s ‘runaway train’ scooped up sensitive lawmaker info: ‘Abuse of power’
Congressman sounds the alarm on China: ‘We’re sleepwalking through this competition’
How long can Iran play its energy card?
Florida men indicted in armed home invasion where suspect posed as utility worker, 13-year-old zip-tied: DOJ
California inmate who spent 45 years on death row for murdering pregnant wife dies
Punks Beat Pro Poker Winner Back to His Airbnb, Ambushed and Hogtied Him, Stole All His Winnings
Trump revives his decades-old Iran warning as US ramps up military pressure: ‘remarkably consistent’
‘This is not normal’: AOC unloads on McConnell’s prolonged absence
Jack Smith team reviewed contents of texts involving 44 members of Congress, DOJ records show
GOP Senator Calls on Iran’s Neighbors to ‘Finish the Job’ After US Troops Did the Hard Part
‘Worst of the Worst’: ICE Announces Arrests of Scores of Murderers, Pedophiles, And Drug Traffickers
Pritzker skewered as ‘victim of his own’ policy after repeat offender arrested in governor’s backyard
WATCH: GOP senators rally behind Lindsey Graham’s sister as successor, remember late senator’s legacy
Israeli Knesset passes bill banning arrest of ultra-orthodox who refuse military service, despite pleas from IDF
Appeals court hands Trump win in fight over 2020 USPS mail changes
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Biden special counsel’s ‘runaway train’ scooped up sensitive lawmaker info: ‘Abuse of power’
Congressman sounds the alarm on China: ‘We’re sleepwalking through this competition’
How long can Iran play its energy card?
Florida men indicted in armed home invasion where suspect posed as utility worker, 13-year-old zip-tied: DOJ
California inmate who spent 45 years on death row for murdering pregnant wife dies
Punks Beat Pro Poker Winner Back to His Airbnb, Ambushed and Hogtied Him, Stole All His Winnings
Trump revives his decades-old Iran warning as US ramps up military pressure: ‘remarkably consistent’
‘This is not normal’: AOC unloads on McConnell’s prolonged absence
Jack Smith team reviewed contents of texts involving 44 members of Congress, DOJ records show
GOP Senator Calls on Iran’s Neighbors to ‘Finish the Job’ After US Troops Did the Hard Part
‘Worst of the Worst’: ICE Announces Arrests of Scores of Murderers, Pedophiles, And Drug Traffickers
Pritzker skewered as ‘victim of his own’ policy after repeat offender arrested in governor’s backyard
WATCH: GOP senators rally behind Lindsey Graham’s sister as successor, remember late senator’s legacy
Israeli Knesset passes bill banning arrest of ultra-orthodox who refuse military service, despite pleas from IDF
Appeals court hands Trump win in fight over 2020 USPS mail changes
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
