CDC Director: Coronavirus Death Toll Will Be ‘Much, Much, Much Lower’ than Projected

HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?

DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.

HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?

---

NeverTrump ‘Conservative’ George Conway Eyes Dem Nadler’s NYC Seat, With Not-So Surprising Twist

---

BREAKING: Trump Admin Issues Ultimatum to Zelenskyy: Sign Peace Deal by Thanksgiving, Or Else

---

Trump flips Dems’ ‘affordability’ script, turning buzzword into MAGA material as Mamdani visit looms

---

As ICE readies ‘Swamp Sweep,’ Mississippi pledges to aid — not block — federal crackdown

---

Watch: The Priceless 30 Seconds Where Rep. Comer Forces Dems to Listen to Hakeem Jeffries Beg Epstein for Cash

---

Unearthed FEC records expose Katie Porter’s hypocrisy after she fumes at ‘new billionaire’ joining race

---

Biden’s DOJ subpoenaed top Republican’s phone records and more top headlines

---

Coast Guard defends dropping hate label for swastikas, nooses, Confederate flags

---

Miss Palestine’s Connection to Notorious Hamas Leader Exposed Ahead of Beauty Pageant: Report

---

Quite the Pickle: California Town Seeks to Permanently Ban Popular Pastime

---

Cheerleader’s cruise ship death unravels amid bitter family strife and questions at sea

---

Liberal dark money giant rebrands to dodge scrutiny, observers say

---

Community group works to shield Portland park from crime and drug use

---

New Twist in Holiday Condiments: ‘Leftover Gravy’ Hits Shelves in Time for Thanksgiving

---

Muslim civil rights group CAIR sues Texas over Abbott’s ‘terrorist’ designation

---

DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.

Story cited here.

See also  “Patriot Weekend” and counter protests of inflatable animals at ICE facility in Portland

Share this article:

Facebook

Twitter