Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
El Sayed mocks Rogers’s ‘earpiece’ and Trump’s ‘a**’ remarks in Grand Rapids rally
Sanders calls Michigan Senate race a test of Trump, accuses president of using racism to divide voters
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani’s ‘puppet’ during New York campaign rally
College homecoming party turns to chaos as deck collapses, leaving at least 28 people injured
Ninth Circuit questions Trump DOJ’s emergency request to set aside 20,000 California mail ballots
Stolen car slams into South Carolina home as teens bolt, authorities say
Woman busted in NYC rabbi syringe attack allegedly stabbed another Jewish man hours earlier: report
Ilhan Omar Accused of Leaking Info to Foreign Leaders in Somalia as Resurfaced Post Brings Evidence to Light
Airbnb Cracks Down on Hosts Treating Guests Like a Free Maid Service
How Is This Legal? Pollster Boosting Dem in Mississippi Admits It Fabricated Most Election Surveys
MAPPED: The states Trump and top Democrats are targeting before Election Day
Young Voters Who Helped Hand Trump White House Are Flocking Back to Dems for the Midterms: Poll
‘Pay the Community’: Trump Pushes Builders to Give Local Americans Extra Payday to Put Up with Unpopular Data Centers
5 victims released from hospital after Florida A&M University shooting, 1 remains critical
‘Nothing Compared to What Is Coming’: Bukele Issues Stark Warning to Haitian Gangs
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
El Sayed mocks Rogers’s ‘earpiece’ and Trump’s ‘a**’ remarks in Grand Rapids rally
Sanders calls Michigan Senate race a test of Trump, accuses president of using racism to divide voters
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani’s ‘puppet’ during New York campaign rally
College homecoming party turns to chaos as deck collapses, leaving at least 28 people injured
Ninth Circuit questions Trump DOJ’s emergency request to set aside 20,000 California mail ballots
Stolen car slams into South Carolina home as teens bolt, authorities say
Woman busted in NYC rabbi syringe attack allegedly stabbed another Jewish man hours earlier: report
Ilhan Omar Accused of Leaking Info to Foreign Leaders in Somalia as Resurfaced Post Brings Evidence to Light
Airbnb Cracks Down on Hosts Treating Guests Like a Free Maid Service
How Is This Legal? Pollster Boosting Dem in Mississippi Admits It Fabricated Most Election Surveys
MAPPED: The states Trump and top Democrats are targeting before Election Day
Young Voters Who Helped Hand Trump White House Are Flocking Back to Dems for the Midterms: Poll
‘Pay the Community’: Trump Pushes Builders to Give Local Americans Extra Payday to Put Up with Unpopular Data Centers
5 victims released from hospital after Florida A&M University shooting, 1 remains critical
‘Nothing Compared to What Is Coming’: Bukele Issues Stark Warning to Haitian Gangs
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
