Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Appeals court hands Trump admin ‘victory’ in Minnesota ICE force restrictions case
Backfire: TDSing European Parliament Member Gets Shut Down in Assembly When His Anti-Trump Fit Goes Way Too Far
Somali-born activist praises Trump’s stark warning at Davos speech: ‘Priority No. 1’
Alert: Bill and Hillary Clinton Found to Be in Contempt of Congress by House Oversight Committee in Bipartisan Vote
Newsom claims Trump administration blocked his Davos speaking engagement
‘An Uphill Battle’ – ‘Ant Man,’ ‘Lost’ Actress Reveals Struggle with Traumatic Brain Injury
Fed’s Cook doubles down on her role after SCOTUS wraps
Mayor Frey shares highly produced video speaking on Latino radio station: ‘You’re brave and you’re tough’
Qatar and Turkey join ‘Board of Peace’ despite Israeli protest, highlighting Trump’s autocratic approach
Breaking: Trump Announces ‘Framework’ of a Greenland Deal Has Been Reached with NATO Chief
600,000 residents flee Ukraine’s capital over destruction of energy infrastructure: Kyiv mayor
Luigi Mangione case: If stalking and assault aren’t ‘crimes of violence,’ death penalty vanishes
Oklahoma man charged with threatening to kill ICE agents, MAGA Republicans online
Supreme Court worried letting Trump fire Lisa Cook jeopardizes Fed independence
‘Patrick Bateman meets Sparkle Beach Ken’ turns Davos into the Gavin Newsom show
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Appeals court hands Trump admin ‘victory’ in Minnesota ICE force restrictions case
Backfire: TDSing European Parliament Member Gets Shut Down in Assembly When His Anti-Trump Fit Goes Way Too Far
Somali-born activist praises Trump’s stark warning at Davos speech: ‘Priority No. 1’
Alert: Bill and Hillary Clinton Found to Be in Contempt of Congress by House Oversight Committee in Bipartisan Vote
Newsom claims Trump administration blocked his Davos speaking engagement
‘An Uphill Battle’ – ‘Ant Man,’ ‘Lost’ Actress Reveals Struggle with Traumatic Brain Injury
Fed’s Cook doubles down on her role after SCOTUS wraps
Mayor Frey shares highly produced video speaking on Latino radio station: ‘You’re brave and you’re tough’
Qatar and Turkey join ‘Board of Peace’ despite Israeli protest, highlighting Trump’s autocratic approach
Breaking: Trump Announces ‘Framework’ of a Greenland Deal Has Been Reached with NATO Chief
600,000 residents flee Ukraine’s capital over destruction of energy infrastructure: Kyiv mayor
Luigi Mangione case: If stalking and assault aren’t ‘crimes of violence,’ death penalty vanishes
Oklahoma man charged with threatening to kill ICE agents, MAGA Republicans online
Supreme Court worried letting Trump fire Lisa Cook jeopardizes Fed independence
‘Patrick Bateman meets Sparkle Beach Ken’ turns Davos into the Gavin Newsom show
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
