Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
‘Oh, shut up!’: Democrat snaps at Collins after heckler drives Maine Senate debate off the rails
Can cooking for terrorists bar asylum? Supreme Court takes up unusual case with broader immigration stakes
Breaking: 3 Children, 1 Adult Killed in Elementary School Shooting
Marjorie Taylor Greene Lashes Out at Trump, Defends Ilhan Omar, Whom She Tried to Censure
Alleged leftist militants charged with gun crime just before Trump stopped enforcement
Michigan GOP gubernatorial candidate John James skips Vance rally, citing debate prep
Hollywood Mega Producer Admits to Joe Rogan That Once Societies Abandon God, They Turn To Tyranny
Active shooter report at Oregon elementary school draws large police response
‘One of a Kind’ Pastor Serving in Trump Administration Dies at Age 47
Ilhan Omar’s husband snaps over rumors she fled US after federal immigration fraud raid
Horse farm owner gets life in prison for boyfriend’s murder after claiming self-defense
Fort Hood survivors praise Trump for scrapping Hasan execution livestream: ‘We’re not barbaric’
British defense secretary to ask Hegseth about Starshield outage as UK tries to ‘bridge’ US and Ukraine ‘back together’
Trump links Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed to Muslim Brotherhood: ‘He’s a con man’
America’s next war could reach US soil, top Army general warns
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
‘Oh, shut up!’: Democrat snaps at Collins after heckler drives Maine Senate debate off the rails
Can cooking for terrorists bar asylum? Supreme Court takes up unusual case with broader immigration stakes
Breaking: 3 Children, 1 Adult Killed in Elementary School Shooting
Marjorie Taylor Greene Lashes Out at Trump, Defends Ilhan Omar, Whom She Tried to Censure
Alleged leftist militants charged with gun crime just before Trump stopped enforcement
Michigan GOP gubernatorial candidate John James skips Vance rally, citing debate prep
Hollywood Mega Producer Admits to Joe Rogan That Once Societies Abandon God, They Turn To Tyranny
Active shooter report at Oregon elementary school draws large police response
‘One of a Kind’ Pastor Serving in Trump Administration Dies at Age 47
Ilhan Omar’s husband snaps over rumors she fled US after federal immigration fraud raid
Horse farm owner gets life in prison for boyfriend’s murder after claiming self-defense
Fort Hood survivors praise Trump for scrapping Hasan execution livestream: ‘We’re not barbaric’
British defense secretary to ask Hegseth about Starshield outage as UK tries to ‘bridge’ US and Ukraine ‘back together’
Trump links Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed to Muslim Brotherhood: ‘He’s a con man’
America’s next war could reach US soil, top Army general warns
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
