Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Deputy US Marshal fatally shot while serving arrest warrant in Louisiana
Dog accidentally turns on toaster, sparking Maryland house fire that killed 3 family pets
Hegseth announces joint task force with DOJ to prosecute leaks to journalists ‘with the full force of the law’
Mamdani offers few answers as massive homeless encampment sprouts in west Manhattan
Historic Video: US Deployed First-Ever Sea-Based Drones to Blow Apart Submarine and Ship Facility in Iran
What to know about Darline Graham Nordone, South Carolina’s newest senator
Democrats running to replace Platner in key Senate race call for ICE to be ‘abolished’
Breaking: Trump to Address the Nation This Week in Prime-Time Comments
Trump-backed Daylight Saving Time bill clears key House hurdle
Maine ICE shooting victim was not target of arrest warrant, Sen. King’s office says after earlier DHS account
Top economists and AI leaders warn of ‘unprecedented transformation’
Newsom blasted by sheriff in his own backyard over California crime as victims cry foul
AOC Hits Now Low, Demands Israel Release ‘Pediatrician,’ Turns Out He’s a Terrorist Colonel – So Was She Ignorant or a Terror Supporter?
Stephen Miller’s unlikely friendship with Lindsey Graham revealed in heartfelt White House tribute
Breaking: Lindsey Graham’s Sister Appointed to Serve Out the Rest of His Term
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Deputy US Marshal fatally shot while serving arrest warrant in Louisiana
Dog accidentally turns on toaster, sparking Maryland house fire that killed 3 family pets
Hegseth announces joint task force with DOJ to prosecute leaks to journalists ‘with the full force of the law’
Mamdani offers few answers as massive homeless encampment sprouts in west Manhattan
Historic Video: US Deployed First-Ever Sea-Based Drones to Blow Apart Submarine and Ship Facility in Iran
What to know about Darline Graham Nordone, South Carolina’s newest senator
Democrats running to replace Platner in key Senate race call for ICE to be ‘abolished’
Breaking: Trump to Address the Nation This Week in Prime-Time Comments
Trump-backed Daylight Saving Time bill clears key House hurdle
Maine ICE shooting victim was not target of arrest warrant, Sen. King’s office says after earlier DHS account
Top economists and AI leaders warn of ‘unprecedented transformation’
Newsom blasted by sheriff in his own backyard over California crime as victims cry foul
AOC Hits Now Low, Demands Israel Release ‘Pediatrician,’ Turns Out He’s a Terrorist Colonel – So Was She Ignorant or a Terror Supporter?
Stephen Miller’s unlikely friendship with Lindsey Graham revealed in heartfelt White House tribute
Breaking: Lindsey Graham’s Sister Appointed to Serve Out the Rest of His Term
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
