Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Lawmakers’ airport perks in crosshairs as DHS shutdown snarls travelers, TSA
Afghanistan frees US citizen Dennis Coyle over a year after Taliban arrest
Dem Blamed Republicans for Hurting His Constituents with Shutdown: Then He Actually Faced Some Media Pushback
Bari Weiss’ CBS News Unveils Major Cuts Amid Industry Shakeup
Ignored ICE detainers ‘put lives at risk,’ DHS says, targeting Newsom, Pritzker, Healey
IDF claims it struck Iranian senior officials’ headquarters in airstrikes
Trump’s Iran strategy showcases ‘doctrine of unpredictability’ amid strike threats and sudden pause
Park Police officer shot in Southeast DC suffers non life-threatening injuries as probe unfolds
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS secretary with support from 2 Democrats
Mullin confirmed as DHS chief as lawmakers near solution on shutdown standoff
Duffy, Hochul, Mamdani come together after LaGuardia plane crash: ‘Politics fade away’
Top House Dem dismisses probe into Jasmine Crockett’s security guard killed in SWAT standoff
Air Traffic Controller Caught on Tape Following Airplane Crash at LaGuardia: ‘I Messed Up’
NJ man crawls through window, attempts to sexually assault girl before being subdued by resident: police
Political traffic signals: waiting for the light to change on the Hill
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Lawmakers’ airport perks in crosshairs as DHS shutdown snarls travelers, TSA
Afghanistan frees US citizen Dennis Coyle over a year after Taliban arrest
Dem Blamed Republicans for Hurting His Constituents with Shutdown: Then He Actually Faced Some Media Pushback
Bari Weiss’ CBS News Unveils Major Cuts Amid Industry Shakeup
Ignored ICE detainers ‘put lives at risk,’ DHS says, targeting Newsom, Pritzker, Healey
IDF claims it struck Iranian senior officials’ headquarters in airstrikes
Trump’s Iran strategy showcases ‘doctrine of unpredictability’ amid strike threats and sudden pause
Park Police officer shot in Southeast DC suffers non life-threatening injuries as probe unfolds
Markwayne Mullin confirmed as DHS secretary with support from 2 Democrats
Mullin confirmed as DHS chief as lawmakers near solution on shutdown standoff
Duffy, Hochul, Mamdani come together after LaGuardia plane crash: ‘Politics fade away’
Top House Dem dismisses probe into Jasmine Crockett’s security guard killed in SWAT standoff
Air Traffic Controller Caught on Tape Following Airplane Crash at LaGuardia: ‘I Messed Up’
NJ man crawls through window, attempts to sexually assault girl before being subdued by resident: police
Political traffic signals: waiting for the light to change on the Hill
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
