Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Rep. Tony Gonzales announces he will not seek re-election amid House Ethics investigation into affair
Federal agents arrest 12 alleged members of LA’s massive 18th Street gang drug trafficking operation
Ohio mother charged with murdering two daughters found buried in suitcases near Cleveland
DOJ officials say Biden autopen investigation has not closed despite reports
DOJ continues Biden autopen probe despite former president unlikely to face charges
US restores diplomatic relations with Venezuela amid push for democratic transition
Operation Epic Fury destroys Iran’s navy and cuts missile attacks by 90% in ongoing campaign
Army reservist, 20, killed in Iranian drone strike in Kuwait, spent final hours reassuring family: ‘I’m good’
California man allegedly fires gun near school zone, barricades in home before surrendering to SWAT pantless
Watch: Here’s the Moment That Appears to Have Cost Kristi Noem Her Job as DHS Secretary
Hegseth blasts Brits, says Iran’s chaotic retaliation has driven its own allies ‘into the American orbit’
Tears of joy and relief: DHS and Trump insiders celebrate Kristi Noem departure
Disaster for Tucker Carlson as Literally Millions of His Nicotine Pouches Are Hijacked by LA Pirates
Clinton-appointed judge orders government to begin refunding $130B in Trump tariffs after SCOTUS ruling
Trump’s new tariff plan barrels back to court following multistate lawsuit
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Rep. Tony Gonzales announces he will not seek re-election amid House Ethics investigation into affair
Federal agents arrest 12 alleged members of LA’s massive 18th Street gang drug trafficking operation
Ohio mother charged with murdering two daughters found buried in suitcases near Cleveland
DOJ officials say Biden autopen investigation has not closed despite reports
DOJ continues Biden autopen probe despite former president unlikely to face charges
US restores diplomatic relations with Venezuela amid push for democratic transition
Operation Epic Fury destroys Iran’s navy and cuts missile attacks by 90% in ongoing campaign
Army reservist, 20, killed in Iranian drone strike in Kuwait, spent final hours reassuring family: ‘I’m good’
California man allegedly fires gun near school zone, barricades in home before surrendering to SWAT pantless
Watch: Here’s the Moment That Appears to Have Cost Kristi Noem Her Job as DHS Secretary
Hegseth blasts Brits, says Iran’s chaotic retaliation has driven its own allies ‘into the American orbit’
Tears of joy and relief: DHS and Trump insiders celebrate Kristi Noem departure
Disaster for Tucker Carlson as Literally Millions of His Nicotine Pouches Are Hijacked by LA Pirates
Clinton-appointed judge orders government to begin refunding $130B in Trump tariffs after SCOTUS ruling
Trump’s new tariff plan barrels back to court following multistate lawsuit
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
