Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Alaska woman uses weapon to survive terrifying bear attack after predator mauls pooch: ‘I thought I was dead’
Son of Mango fashion billionaire heard tearfully telling 911 operator his father had ‘fallen down a ravine’
Vance Gives Perfect Response After ‘View’ Host Brings Up His Past Criticism of Trump
Republicans bat down bid to handcuff Trump’s war powers as peace deal nears
15 Antifa radicals indicted, 12 arrested in sweeping federal probe into Minneapolis anti-ICE operations
JD Vance Responds as Lindsey Graham Expresses Skepticism About Iran Deal
Mother’s tip helped unravel White House UFC drone plot: Affidavit
Lawmakers demand answers after NIH scientists charged in monkeypox smuggling conspiracy
MLB Reprimands Christian Players Who Took a Stand Against ‘Pride Night’
Todd Blanche earns attorney general bid endorsement from law enforcement alliance ahead of confirmation
Trump Says Israel Is Fighting ‘Too Long, and Too Many People Are Being Killed’
Hungary changes constitution to ban Viktor Orban reelection as Peter Magyar prepares to oust president
Report links anti-Christian extremism and ‘assassination culture’ to alleged plot against Erika Kirk
Luigi Mangione supporter working for far-left DC mayoral candidate likened to Mamdani
South Carolina personal trainer goes missing, last spotted walking toward wooded area
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Alaska woman uses weapon to survive terrifying bear attack after predator mauls pooch: ‘I thought I was dead’
Son of Mango fashion billionaire heard tearfully telling 911 operator his father had ‘fallen down a ravine’
Vance Gives Perfect Response After ‘View’ Host Brings Up His Past Criticism of Trump
Republicans bat down bid to handcuff Trump’s war powers as peace deal nears
15 Antifa radicals indicted, 12 arrested in sweeping federal probe into Minneapolis anti-ICE operations
JD Vance Responds as Lindsey Graham Expresses Skepticism About Iran Deal
Mother’s tip helped unravel White House UFC drone plot: Affidavit
Lawmakers demand answers after NIH scientists charged in monkeypox smuggling conspiracy
MLB Reprimands Christian Players Who Took a Stand Against ‘Pride Night’
Todd Blanche earns attorney general bid endorsement from law enforcement alliance ahead of confirmation
Trump Says Israel Is Fighting ‘Too Long, and Too Many People Are Being Killed’
Hungary changes constitution to ban Viktor Orban reelection as Peter Magyar prepares to oust president
Report links anti-Christian extremism and ‘assassination culture’ to alleged plot against Erika Kirk
Luigi Mangione supporter working for far-left DC mayoral candidate likened to Mamdani
South Carolina personal trainer goes missing, last spotted walking toward wooded area
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
