Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Close call at Atlanta airport forces Delta anti-collision alarms to sound
Fauci repeatedly pleads Fifth in fiery showdown with Rand Paul
Dispatch audio released in Michigan family murder-suicide as troubled family’s secrets emerge
WATCH: Battleground Democrat called Iowa a ‘backwater’ over transgender athletes ban
Iran Releases Sick Video Showing Terrorists How to Target Melania, Suggests Neuro Toxin Strategy, Then Takes Aim at Barron
The Electoral College Must Be Protected: Here’s Why
‘Tip of the iceberg’: NJ illegal voting scandal explodes with more key systems at risk
Coercion Is the Abortion Debate We Aren’t Having
Scientists who nominated Fauci for prize money received millions in NIAID funding
DOJ can’t release Biden tapes while hiding Jack Smith report, watchdog says
No Jews on Mamdani’s ‘truly representative’ NYC judiciary panel, sparking backlash
Should taxpayer dollars pay for veterans’ service dogs? Congress is deciding
Kentucky governor calls on McConnell to prove he is fit to serve or resign: ‘Address the people’
Lindsay Clancy’s ex-husband details pill use as expert says evidence could shape murder trial
BTK killer Dennis Rader’s daughter Kerri Rawson hit with domestic violence injunction: report
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Close call at Atlanta airport forces Delta anti-collision alarms to sound
Fauci repeatedly pleads Fifth in fiery showdown with Rand Paul
Dispatch audio released in Michigan family murder-suicide as troubled family’s secrets emerge
WATCH: Battleground Democrat called Iowa a ‘backwater’ over transgender athletes ban
Iran Releases Sick Video Showing Terrorists How to Target Melania, Suggests Neuro Toxin Strategy, Then Takes Aim at Barron
The Electoral College Must Be Protected: Here’s Why
‘Tip of the iceberg’: NJ illegal voting scandal explodes with more key systems at risk
Coercion Is the Abortion Debate We Aren’t Having
Scientists who nominated Fauci for prize money received millions in NIAID funding
DOJ can’t release Biden tapes while hiding Jack Smith report, watchdog says
No Jews on Mamdani’s ‘truly representative’ NYC judiciary panel, sparking backlash
Should taxpayer dollars pay for veterans’ service dogs? Congress is deciding
Kentucky governor calls on McConnell to prove he is fit to serve or resign: ‘Address the people’
Lindsay Clancy’s ex-husband details pill use as expert says evidence could shape murder trial
BTK killer Dennis Rader’s daughter Kerri Rawson hit with domestic violence injunction: report
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
