Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Intel expert says Singham network is more than a nonprofit scandal—it’s a security threat
New Trump UFO file dump includes military footage of mysterious star-shaped object
Graphic: Another Muslim Activist Freaks Out, Demanding We Confine Our Dogs According to the Will of Allah
Video Emerges Showing Mitch McConnell Taken to Hospital After Cardiac Arrest – Report
Peter Navarro seeks ‘precedent for years to come’ with renewed contempt fight
Trump administration expands ‘Product of USA’ label as push for American-raised beef grows
Mamdani official’s planned meeting with Iran envoy shut down by State Department
Iran will target Israel if US continues strikes after ceasefire collapses, official warns
Illegal Alien Child Predator Pardoned by Tim Walz Deported After Marco Rubio Intervenes
Alert: Dem Sen. Fetterman and GOP Sen. McCormick Launch Joint Fundraising Project, Adding to Speculation Fetterman Will Switch Parties Soon
Mamdani’s wife co-hosts luxe Muslim retreat casting Virgin Mary as ‘Palestinian woman’ under occupation
Trump says he’s Iran’s ‘No. 1’ target as renewed conflict raises assassination fears
8 indicted in planned sniper attack at White House UFC 250 event, DOJ says
National Guard shooting suspect in ‘dire,’ ‘self-inflicted’ health condition after refusing to eat: filing
Trump’s popularity among Israelis fades after Iran MOU
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Intel expert says Singham network is more than a nonprofit scandal—it’s a security threat
New Trump UFO file dump includes military footage of mysterious star-shaped object
Graphic: Another Muslim Activist Freaks Out, Demanding We Confine Our Dogs According to the Will of Allah
Video Emerges Showing Mitch McConnell Taken to Hospital After Cardiac Arrest – Report
Peter Navarro seeks ‘precedent for years to come’ with renewed contempt fight
Trump administration expands ‘Product of USA’ label as push for American-raised beef grows
Mamdani official’s planned meeting with Iran envoy shut down by State Department
Iran will target Israel if US continues strikes after ceasefire collapses, official warns
Illegal Alien Child Predator Pardoned by Tim Walz Deported After Marco Rubio Intervenes
Alert: Dem Sen. Fetterman and GOP Sen. McCormick Launch Joint Fundraising Project, Adding to Speculation Fetterman Will Switch Parties Soon
Mamdani’s wife co-hosts luxe Muslim retreat casting Virgin Mary as ‘Palestinian woman’ under occupation
Trump says he’s Iran’s ‘No. 1’ target as renewed conflict raises assassination fears
8 indicted in planned sniper attack at White House UFC 250 event, DOJ says
National Guard shooting suspect in ‘dire,’ ‘self-inflicted’ health condition after refusing to eat: filing
Trump’s popularity among Israelis fades after Iran MOU
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
