Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Trump reveals first look at presidential library in Miami
Teacher of the Year finalist gets 14 years for sexual relationship with student she kept contacting
Top Ten King-Like Things Barack Obama Did That Democrats Had No Problem With
Fugitive illegal alien convict on the run after attempting to strike ICE officer with vehicle: DHS
Charlie Kirk Memorial Bill Vetoed by Swing-State Dem Governor Who Said It Didn’t ‘Bring People Together’
DHS slams California ‘sanctuary’ county after mom allegedly murdered by 2 Honduran nationals
Jayapal floats reparations for illegal immigrants impacted by Trump crackdown, demands prosecutions
Opinion: Is It Just Me, or Is the World Finally Starting to Feel Normal Again?
Pam Bondi Announces the DOJ Is Suing Tim Walz’s Minnesota
Woman dies after falling from 60-foot cliff along popular Smoky Mountains trail
Rep Rashida Tlaib moves to block US operations in Lebanon but ignores Hezbollah
Trump’s TSA Executive Order Appears to Have Had Immediate Impact at Busiest Airports
Trump Reveals New White House Ballroom Will Have a ‘Massive,’ Hidden Military Purpose
Worse Than Booze? Tiger Woods’ Former Employee Thinks Ex-Boss Declined Urine Test Over Something Much Stronger Than Alcohol
Pentagon cites ‘meritocracy’ as reported officer promotion removals draw Democratic criticism
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Trump reveals first look at presidential library in Miami
Teacher of the Year finalist gets 14 years for sexual relationship with student she kept contacting
Top Ten King-Like Things Barack Obama Did That Democrats Had No Problem With
Fugitive illegal alien convict on the run after attempting to strike ICE officer with vehicle: DHS
Charlie Kirk Memorial Bill Vetoed by Swing-State Dem Governor Who Said It Didn’t ‘Bring People Together’
DHS slams California ‘sanctuary’ county after mom allegedly murdered by 2 Honduran nationals
Jayapal floats reparations for illegal immigrants impacted by Trump crackdown, demands prosecutions
Opinion: Is It Just Me, or Is the World Finally Starting to Feel Normal Again?
Pam Bondi Announces the DOJ Is Suing Tim Walz’s Minnesota
Woman dies after falling from 60-foot cliff along popular Smoky Mountains trail
Rep Rashida Tlaib moves to block US operations in Lebanon but ignores Hezbollah
Trump’s TSA Executive Order Appears to Have Had Immediate Impact at Busiest Airports
Trump Reveals New White House Ballroom Will Have a ‘Massive,’ Hidden Military Purpose
Worse Than Booze? Tiger Woods’ Former Employee Thinks Ex-Boss Declined Urine Test Over Something Much Stronger Than Alcohol
Pentagon cites ‘meritocracy’ as reported officer promotion removals draw Democratic criticism
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
