Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Trump calls likely DC mayor Janeese Lewis George a ‘communist’ and vows to block her agenda
Trump: Renovations to DC’s East Potomac Golf Links begin in September
Top Democrat lawmaker suffers minor injuries in Delaware car crash
Pollster Stands By Rejected Survey Showing Struggling Democrat in Single Digits That He Released Anyway
Doctor Pushing Puberty Blockers on Teen Boy Was Charged With Possessing Child Porn
Sisters, friend charged in Texas mom’s stabbing death
The Swamp’s Got Another Bright Idea, and It Could End Up Hosing Every American Who Drives
SCOTUS Showdown Over Gun Suppressors Looms After Appeals Court Creates ‘Circuit Split’
Punk Allegedly Pulls Pistol on Workmen, Ends up Tied to Front Porch to Make Police Pickup Quick and Easy
Soft-On-Crime Socialist Set To Run Nation’s Capital Ravaged By Teen Takeovers
What to know about the July Fourth celebrations in DC
WATCH: Biden appears confused about where to exit stage after Democratic gala remarks
It’s Happening: CA Revival Extends for Weeks, ‘Greatest Nights’ in Over 50 Years of Evangelist’s Crusades
Parents Sue Snapchat Alleging Its Responsibility For 12-Year-Old’s Rape
Young Americans break sharply from older Americans on China threat, new poll finds
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Trump calls likely DC mayor Janeese Lewis George a ‘communist’ and vows to block her agenda
Trump: Renovations to DC’s East Potomac Golf Links begin in September
Top Democrat lawmaker suffers minor injuries in Delaware car crash
Pollster Stands By Rejected Survey Showing Struggling Democrat in Single Digits That He Released Anyway
Doctor Pushing Puberty Blockers on Teen Boy Was Charged With Possessing Child Porn
Sisters, friend charged in Texas mom’s stabbing death
The Swamp’s Got Another Bright Idea, and It Could End Up Hosing Every American Who Drives
SCOTUS Showdown Over Gun Suppressors Looms After Appeals Court Creates ‘Circuit Split’
Punk Allegedly Pulls Pistol on Workmen, Ends up Tied to Front Porch to Make Police Pickup Quick and Easy
Soft-On-Crime Socialist Set To Run Nation’s Capital Ravaged By Teen Takeovers
What to know about the July Fourth celebrations in DC
WATCH: Biden appears confused about where to exit stage after Democratic gala remarks
It’s Happening: CA Revival Extends for Weeks, ‘Greatest Nights’ in Over 50 Years of Evangelist’s Crusades
Parents Sue Snapchat Alleging Its Responsibility For 12-Year-Old’s Rape
Young Americans break sharply from older Americans on China threat, new poll finds
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
