Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Elon Musk pours a staggering $10M into Kentucky Senate race, backing pro-Trump business outsider
Alert: Maryland Dems Introduce Bill to Ban All ICE Agents Hired Under Trump from Ever Serving in Law Enforcement Again
The Case for Jailing Don Lemon – How the DOJ Arrested, Tried, Convicted, and Punished Three J6 Journalists
Experts warn Minnesota school closures after ICE shooting will harm kids for ‘political points’
White House-backed GOP bill would revoke citizenship after Somali fraud scandal
Law Professor: Anti-ICE Governors Are Acting Like Anti-Civil Rights Segregationists
Google Rolls Back Disturbing Policy: They Emailed 13-Year-Olds Instructions on How to Remove Parental Controls
Trump asserts Ilhan Omar should be jailed or booted to Somalia
Portland DA cracks down on drug crimes as Seattle pulls back on enforcement
Florida triple murder of 3 tourists was ‘senseless,’ ‘random,’ sheriff says
‘Protecting Child Rapists and Killers’: ICE Lists Off Illegals They’ve Caught as Liberal Protests Rage On
California gubernatorial hopefuls have a Gavin Newsom problem
Lindsey Graham meets with Mossad director during trip to Israel
Unearthed Data Makes Pennsylvania’s Puberty Blocker Payouts Look Even Sketchier
Trump’s ‘first resort’ use of military has succeeded but it has its limits
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Elon Musk pours a staggering $10M into Kentucky Senate race, backing pro-Trump business outsider
Alert: Maryland Dems Introduce Bill to Ban All ICE Agents Hired Under Trump from Ever Serving in Law Enforcement Again
The Case for Jailing Don Lemon – How the DOJ Arrested, Tried, Convicted, and Punished Three J6 Journalists
Experts warn Minnesota school closures after ICE shooting will harm kids for ‘political points’
White House-backed GOP bill would revoke citizenship after Somali fraud scandal
Law Professor: Anti-ICE Governors Are Acting Like Anti-Civil Rights Segregationists
Google Rolls Back Disturbing Policy: They Emailed 13-Year-Olds Instructions on How to Remove Parental Controls
Trump asserts Ilhan Omar should be jailed or booted to Somalia
Portland DA cracks down on drug crimes as Seattle pulls back on enforcement
Florida triple murder of 3 tourists was ‘senseless,’ ‘random,’ sheriff says
‘Protecting Child Rapists and Killers’: ICE Lists Off Illegals They’ve Caught as Liberal Protests Rage On
California gubernatorial hopefuls have a Gavin Newsom problem
Lindsey Graham meets with Mossad director during trip to Israel
Unearthed Data Makes Pennsylvania’s Puberty Blocker Payouts Look Even Sketchier
Trump’s ‘first resort’ use of military has succeeded but it has its limits
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
