Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Daughter of Prominent Southern Baptist Pastor Dies at 19, Points Thousands to Jesus as a Result
Florida Just Handed Homeowners a Massive Tax Cut – No New Department Was Required to Pull It Off
MAGA voters reveal who they want to see lead GOP in 2028
DOJ sees exodus of staff after midterm losses
From ‘Red Sprouts’ to school board races, DSA’s years-long effort to reach children gains momentum
South Carolina’s new Democratic senator supports gun control on public health grounds
Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies are undermining Trump’s peace efforts, former top prosecutor alleges
New Jersey town reveals staggering $26M theft days after election, sparking backlash
Three teens, adult charged with murder after woman finds her teenage son dead in abandoned home
Two experienced skydivers die after midair collision entangles their parachutes
Betting Markets’ Midterm Predictions Were Dead On: Now They’re Saying DeSantis’s Odds of Becoming POTUS Are Skyrocketing
Chiefs Star Goes Bankrupt Mid-Season, Pawns Super Bowl Ring as Collateral
Housing Market Struggles May Signal Incoming Economic Crisis
Young Actress Reveals She Was Offered Cocaine at Hollywood Wrap Party at 11 Years Old
Ex-police officer accused of stabbing NYC jogger to death appears emotionless in new photos
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Daughter of Prominent Southern Baptist Pastor Dies at 19, Points Thousands to Jesus as a Result
Florida Just Handed Homeowners a Massive Tax Cut – No New Department Was Required to Pull It Off
MAGA voters reveal who they want to see lead GOP in 2028
DOJ sees exodus of staff after midterm losses
From ‘Red Sprouts’ to school board races, DSA’s years-long effort to reach children gains momentum
South Carolina’s new Democratic senator supports gun control on public health grounds
Ukraine’s anti-corruption agencies are undermining Trump’s peace efforts, former top prosecutor alleges
New Jersey town reveals staggering $26M theft days after election, sparking backlash
Three teens, adult charged with murder after woman finds her teenage son dead in abandoned home
Two experienced skydivers die after midair collision entangles their parachutes
Betting Markets’ Midterm Predictions Were Dead On: Now They’re Saying DeSantis’s Odds of Becoming POTUS Are Skyrocketing
Chiefs Star Goes Bankrupt Mid-Season, Pawns Super Bowl Ring as Collateral
Housing Market Struggles May Signal Incoming Economic Crisis
Young Actress Reveals She Was Offered Cocaine at Hollywood Wrap Party at 11 Years Old
Ex-police officer accused of stabbing NYC jogger to death appears emotionless in new photos
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
