Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Climber dies in fatal fall on Colorado 14er south of Aspen
Trump Pre-empts Canada’s Retaliatory Tariffs by Telling Jet Maker Bombardier ‘No More Selling’ in US
‘You’re Fired’: Police Event Scraps Jelly Roll Performance in Response to Trump-Bashing on ‘Kimmel’
Trump Admin Preparing Plan to Boost Nuclear Families by Paying Stay-at-Home Moms: Report
NTSB reveals if crew survived Amazon cargo jet disaster as it shares details about victims
Dem Governor Orders Flags at Half-Staff for Gloria Steinem – Will Remain Lowered on Anniversary of Charlie Kirk’s Murder
Menendez brothers granted 2027 parole hearing a year earlier than expected
Convicted Murderer Karmelo Anthony Now Begging Supporters for Another $250,000
New Mexico’s Dem Governor Triggered After Trump Jokingly Suggests New Name for Her State
Radical Muslim Kills Gay Pro-Palestine Activist Outside Gay Bar
WJ Straw Poll: Rubio Surges to Commanding Lead, Vance Cruises Past Massie
Alleged cryptoscam ringleader set for plea hearing in $240M bitcoin theft
Sherrill anti-ICE policy hammered after fleeing migrant driver injures Dem mayor’s wife
New California Bill Could Completely Disqualify Former ICE Agents from Public Employment
‘We’re Scared, Very Scared’: Weeping Spanish Girl Reveals Heartbreaking Reality of Mass Migration from Africa
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Climber dies in fatal fall on Colorado 14er south of Aspen
Trump Pre-empts Canada’s Retaliatory Tariffs by Telling Jet Maker Bombardier ‘No More Selling’ in US
‘You’re Fired’: Police Event Scraps Jelly Roll Performance in Response to Trump-Bashing on ‘Kimmel’
Trump Admin Preparing Plan to Boost Nuclear Families by Paying Stay-at-Home Moms: Report
NTSB reveals if crew survived Amazon cargo jet disaster as it shares details about victims
Dem Governor Orders Flags at Half-Staff for Gloria Steinem – Will Remain Lowered on Anniversary of Charlie Kirk’s Murder
Menendez brothers granted 2027 parole hearing a year earlier than expected
Convicted Murderer Karmelo Anthony Now Begging Supporters for Another $250,000
New Mexico’s Dem Governor Triggered After Trump Jokingly Suggests New Name for Her State
Radical Muslim Kills Gay Pro-Palestine Activist Outside Gay Bar
WJ Straw Poll: Rubio Surges to Commanding Lead, Vance Cruises Past Massie
Alleged cryptoscam ringleader set for plea hearing in $240M bitcoin theft
Sherrill anti-ICE policy hammered after fleeing migrant driver injures Dem mayor’s wife
New California Bill Could Completely Disqualify Former ICE Agents from Public Employment
‘We’re Scared, Very Scared’: Weeping Spanish Girl Reveals Heartbreaking Reality of Mass Migration from Africa
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
