Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Missing 1200-pound giraffe Gracie found 2 weeks after wandering away from ranch in viral search
Texas Board of Education approves required reading list with Bible passages for 5 million students
Mamdani’s Socialist Dream is Becoming a Reality as NYC Freezes 1 Million Rents
Warren tells Trump to ‘sign the damn bill’ as bipartisan housing package remains stalled in Washington
‘Baked to death’: Homan rips media while sharing horrific scenes from border enforcement career
GOP is Launching Election Integrity Project with Page from Soros Playbook
Bill Barr calls on Senate GOP to confirm Todd Blanche for attorney general
New limited-edition US passport features Trump’s image and a warning
Judge Shuts Down Tyler Robinson’s Attempt to Dodge Death Penalty
Trump Says Iran Just Committed ‘a Foolish Violation of Our Ceasefire Agreement’
Just Years After Strict Mask Mandates, Minneapolis Lifts Ban on AIDS Superspreader Establishments During Gay ‘Pride’ Month
House Democrat lashes out when grilled on whether socialist victories would threaten Dem unity
Trump admin cracks down on estimated $10 billion in Obamacare fraud, boots millions from rolls
Death of great-grandmother brutally killed on train triggers federal action
Gavin Newsom Calls for ‘National Billionaires Tax’ to Trigger ‘Economic Reset’
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Missing 1200-pound giraffe Gracie found 2 weeks after wandering away from ranch in viral search
Texas Board of Education approves required reading list with Bible passages for 5 million students
Mamdani’s Socialist Dream is Becoming a Reality as NYC Freezes 1 Million Rents
Warren tells Trump to ‘sign the damn bill’ as bipartisan housing package remains stalled in Washington
‘Baked to death’: Homan rips media while sharing horrific scenes from border enforcement career
GOP is Launching Election Integrity Project with Page from Soros Playbook
Bill Barr calls on Senate GOP to confirm Todd Blanche for attorney general
New limited-edition US passport features Trump’s image and a warning
Judge Shuts Down Tyler Robinson’s Attempt to Dodge Death Penalty
Trump Says Iran Just Committed ‘a Foolish Violation of Our Ceasefire Agreement’
Just Years After Strict Mask Mandates, Minneapolis Lifts Ban on AIDS Superspreader Establishments During Gay ‘Pride’ Month
House Democrat lashes out when grilled on whether socialist victories would threaten Dem unity
Trump admin cracks down on estimated $10 billion in Obamacare fraud, boots millions from rolls
Death of great-grandmother brutally killed on train triggers federal action
Gavin Newsom Calls for ‘National Billionaires Tax’ to Trigger ‘Economic Reset’
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
