Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Diesel Just Hit $5.90 a Gallon with Refineries Maxed Out: Winter Won’t Get Any Better
‘History Worth Teaching’: Trump Demands Smithsonian Replace Woke Modernist Nonsense Giant Statue of Washington
GOP women sound alarm as Lindsay Clancy backlash revives calls to repeal 19th Amendment: ‘Definitely a threat’
Georgia killer who murdered two suburban real estate agents faces execution after 23-year wait for justice
Burglar Armed with Submachine Gun Raids Missouri House: The Homeowner Sent Him Home in a Body Bag
Police Called to Kamala Harris’s Malibu Mansion After Unknown Woman ‘Illegally Entered’
With ‘Choosin’ Texas,’ we’re all choosin’ Ella Langley
Deep-pocketed donors flocked to the SPLC to heal America’s divisions. Did it pay off?
Penn State frat cocaine bust blows lid off wider stimulant scourge hitting college campuses — and beyond
Vulnerable House Republicans embrace Trump as GOP bets on defying midterm history
Trump faces major test over appointing US attorneys without Senate approval
Black conservative reveals how GOP can lock down minority voters without Trump on ballot
Sweden’s right-wing government hoping nationalist-populist allies will hold back left-wing coalition
Wisconsin GOP governor candidate swims from sinking plane after emergency lake landing
Man accused in brutal motel stabbing sought as person of interest in 4 deaths, child attack
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Diesel Just Hit $5.90 a Gallon with Refineries Maxed Out: Winter Won’t Get Any Better
‘History Worth Teaching’: Trump Demands Smithsonian Replace Woke Modernist Nonsense Giant Statue of Washington
GOP women sound alarm as Lindsay Clancy backlash revives calls to repeal 19th Amendment: ‘Definitely a threat’
Georgia killer who murdered two suburban real estate agents faces execution after 23-year wait for justice
Burglar Armed with Submachine Gun Raids Missouri House: The Homeowner Sent Him Home in a Body Bag
Police Called to Kamala Harris’s Malibu Mansion After Unknown Woman ‘Illegally Entered’
With ‘Choosin’ Texas,’ we’re all choosin’ Ella Langley
Deep-pocketed donors flocked to the SPLC to heal America’s divisions. Did it pay off?
Penn State frat cocaine bust blows lid off wider stimulant scourge hitting college campuses — and beyond
Vulnerable House Republicans embrace Trump as GOP bets on defying midterm history
Trump faces major test over appointing US attorneys without Senate approval
Black conservative reveals how GOP can lock down minority voters without Trump on ballot
Sweden’s right-wing government hoping nationalist-populist allies will hold back left-wing coalition
Wisconsin GOP governor candidate swims from sinking plane after emergency lake landing
Man accused in brutal motel stabbing sought as person of interest in 4 deaths, child attack
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
