Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Bessent clarifies threat against Bill Pulte: He said he was going to ‘kick his a**’
Aid group warns Ebola could have spread for three months before first cases were detected
Rubio grilled over Trump’s national security picks and foreign policy priorities: ‘It’s not funny, secretary’
Judge with intimate ties to Dem Party’s key Russia Hoax players behind latest anti-Trump decision
Watch Closely: Jill Biden Makes Telling Slip-Up During ‘Morning Joe’ Interview
Iran Significantly Escalates Fighting Overnight ‘In Response to a Series of US Military Attacks’
GOP leverages ICE funding package to make Trump’s controversial $2B fund ‘never exist’
Auburn University student disappears in Japan as parents join search: ‘In our own living hell’
Nancy Guthrie sheriff defends pace of investigation more than 4 months into search
Jeffries declines to back Wasserman Schultz as Black leaders revolt over district switch
U.S. Military Kills Two in Latest Suspected Pacific Drug-Smuggling Intercept
Matthew Perry’s Final Days Reconstructed: A Timeline of His Last Hours and Weeks
WATCH: Dem scolds Homeland Security chief to ‘calm down’ after hearing derails over alleged ‘pattern’
Bill Pulte takes the helm of an intelligence community marred by infighting
Mexican Consulates Worry That Trump Admin Review Could Lead To Closure
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Bessent clarifies threat against Bill Pulte: He said he was going to ‘kick his a**’
Aid group warns Ebola could have spread for three months before first cases were detected
Rubio grilled over Trump’s national security picks and foreign policy priorities: ‘It’s not funny, secretary’
Judge with intimate ties to Dem Party’s key Russia Hoax players behind latest anti-Trump decision
Watch Closely: Jill Biden Makes Telling Slip-Up During ‘Morning Joe’ Interview
Iran Significantly Escalates Fighting Overnight ‘In Response to a Series of US Military Attacks’
GOP leverages ICE funding package to make Trump’s controversial $2B fund ‘never exist’
Auburn University student disappears in Japan as parents join search: ‘In our own living hell’
Nancy Guthrie sheriff defends pace of investigation more than 4 months into search
Jeffries declines to back Wasserman Schultz as Black leaders revolt over district switch
U.S. Military Kills Two in Latest Suspected Pacific Drug-Smuggling Intercept
Matthew Perry’s Final Days Reconstructed: A Timeline of His Last Hours and Weeks
WATCH: Dem scolds Homeland Security chief to ‘calm down’ after hearing derails over alleged ‘pattern’
Bill Pulte takes the helm of an intelligence community marred by infighting
Mexican Consulates Worry That Trump Admin Review Could Lead To Closure
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
