Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
El-Sayed’s Jewish outreach ignites ‘tokenism’ fury as Michigan GOP chair makes bold prediction
Outgoing House Democrat backs incumbent Republican lawmaker for re-election
Vance’s midterm message: Don’t elect ‘crazy people’ responsible for higher prices
Hope: Remember How the 2018 Blue Wave Fizzled? Turns Out Dems’ 2026 Numbers Aren’t Even Half What They Were Then
Mamdani tells Trump banned White House outlets are welcome at NYC meeting
Maryland hunter’s alleged mistake leaves Delaware mother dead
Deer Hunter Arrested and Charged with Manslaughter After Fatal Mistake
Man Convicted of Murdering Two Teenage Girls Blames ‘Pagan Ritual’ in New Appeal
Watch for Yourself: Dem Gov. Brags She’s Sending People to Homes of Every New Baby to ‘Make an Assessment’ of the Situation
Trump says Mamdani ‘off to a start,’ has ‘great potential’ in visit to mayor’s mansion
Socialist, communist groups coordinate, promote ‘spontaneous’ anti-ICE protests in Austin
Lindsay Clancy’s Attorney Files for Official Investigation Into Holdout Juror
Watch: Trumpeter Improvises to Deliver ‘Most Iconic’ Anthem Performance After Instrument Malfunctions Mid-Song
Archaeologists Begin Core Drilling in Unprecedented Study at Alleged Site of Noah’s Ark
Breaking: Court Revives GOP-Favored Map, All But Flips Democrat Seat to Republican
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
El-Sayed’s Jewish outreach ignites ‘tokenism’ fury as Michigan GOP chair makes bold prediction
Outgoing House Democrat backs incumbent Republican lawmaker for re-election
Vance’s midterm message: Don’t elect ‘crazy people’ responsible for higher prices
Hope: Remember How the 2018 Blue Wave Fizzled? Turns Out Dems’ 2026 Numbers Aren’t Even Half What They Were Then
Mamdani tells Trump banned White House outlets are welcome at NYC meeting
Maryland hunter’s alleged mistake leaves Delaware mother dead
Deer Hunter Arrested and Charged with Manslaughter After Fatal Mistake
Man Convicted of Murdering Two Teenage Girls Blames ‘Pagan Ritual’ in New Appeal
Watch for Yourself: Dem Gov. Brags She’s Sending People to Homes of Every New Baby to ‘Make an Assessment’ of the Situation
Trump says Mamdani ‘off to a start,’ has ‘great potential’ in visit to mayor’s mansion
Socialist, communist groups coordinate, promote ‘spontaneous’ anti-ICE protests in Austin
Lindsay Clancy’s Attorney Files for Official Investigation Into Holdout Juror
Watch: Trumpeter Improvises to Deliver ‘Most Iconic’ Anthem Performance After Instrument Malfunctions Mid-Song
Archaeologists Begin Core Drilling in Unprecedented Study at Alleged Site of Noah’s Ark
Breaking: Court Revives GOP-Favored Map, All But Flips Democrat Seat to Republican
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
