Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Hegseth announces joint task force with DOJ to prosecute leaks to journalists ‘with the full force of the law’
Mamdani offers few answers as massive homeless encampment sprouts in west Manhattan
What to know about Darline Graham Nordone, South Carolina’s newest senator
Breaking: Trump to Address the Nation This Week in Prime-Time Comments
Top economists and AI leaders warn of ‘unprecedented transformation’
AOC Hits Now Low, Demands Israel Release ‘Pediatrician,’ Turns Out He’s a Terrorist Colonel – So Was She Ignorant or a Terror Supporter?
Stephen Miller’s unlikely friendship with Lindsey Graham revealed in heartfelt White House tribute
Auto Journalist Swarmed by Cops After Flock Cameras Mistakenly Flag Car Theft: We ‘Live in a Surveillance State’
‘The halls of the Senate already feel empty’: Tearful Thune honors Lindsey Graham as sister takes his seat
Dem Rep Tried to Bait Israeli Authorities Into Confrontation with Him – Israeli Ambassador Has One Big Question
Driver accused of DUI survives astonishing 600-foot plunge down California cliff
Obama-appointed judge torches Trump admin in latest courtroom showdown, refers attorney for Bar review
Menlo College student accused of raping 12-year-old as prosecutors probe second victim
Family shattered after 3-time deported illegal immigrant allegedly blew through stop sign, roiling House race
Judge bars Trump from using IRS immunity deal to evade investigation over past tax filings
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Hegseth announces joint task force with DOJ to prosecute leaks to journalists ‘with the full force of the law’
Mamdani offers few answers as massive homeless encampment sprouts in west Manhattan
What to know about Darline Graham Nordone, South Carolina’s newest senator
Breaking: Trump to Address the Nation This Week in Prime-Time Comments
Top economists and AI leaders warn of ‘unprecedented transformation’
AOC Hits Now Low, Demands Israel Release ‘Pediatrician,’ Turns Out He’s a Terrorist Colonel – So Was She Ignorant or a Terror Supporter?
Stephen Miller’s unlikely friendship with Lindsey Graham revealed in heartfelt White House tribute
Auto Journalist Swarmed by Cops After Flock Cameras Mistakenly Flag Car Theft: We ‘Live in a Surveillance State’
‘The halls of the Senate already feel empty’: Tearful Thune honors Lindsey Graham as sister takes his seat
Dem Rep Tried to Bait Israeli Authorities Into Confrontation with Him – Israeli Ambassador Has One Big Question
Driver accused of DUI survives astonishing 600-foot plunge down California cliff
Obama-appointed judge torches Trump admin in latest courtroom showdown, refers attorney for Bar review
Menlo College student accused of raping 12-year-old as prosecutors probe second victim
Family shattered after 3-time deported illegal immigrant allegedly blew through stop sign, roiling House race
Judge bars Trump from using IRS immunity deal to evade investigation over past tax filings
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
