Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
AOC accused of putting on new accent during Memphis rally: ‘Going full Kamala’
Tipster charged with murder after police say anonymous call helped solve 30-year disappearance
‘Let’s brew it in the United States’: Teamsters target Modelo and Corona in push for Mexican beer tariffs
Six dead as Kyiv hit by largest ballistic missile attack of war with interceptor stock low
Jarring Video: South African Reveals What’s Actually Believed About Whites, And It Is Horrific
Muhammad Is The Top Baby Name For Boys In England And Wales For Third Year In A Row
James Carville, Dem With Deteriorating Mental State, Says CNN Should Have Aired Presidential Speech to Show Trump’s Deteriorating Mental State
‘Keep a low profile’: State Department warns Americans overseas they could be targeted
Authorities Identify Source of Nationwide Cyclospora Outbreak: Salad Distributer Used By Taco Bell
Body Cam Catches The View’s Sunny Hostin Trying to Use Her Status to Talk Cops Out of Arresting Her Son
Johnson warns America is in ‘battle’ against Marxism, calls for renewed focus on nation’s founding principles
Platner ally Troy Jackson closing in on Democratic Senate nod in key race to face Collins
Extreme Climate Model Scenario Was Widely Used Despite Being Impossible
Controversial program paying drug users for used syringes becomes permanent in NYC
Education Department Moves To Crack Down On Schools, Teachers Unions Protecting Sexual Predators
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
AOC accused of putting on new accent during Memphis rally: ‘Going full Kamala’
Tipster charged with murder after police say anonymous call helped solve 30-year disappearance
‘Let’s brew it in the United States’: Teamsters target Modelo and Corona in push for Mexican beer tariffs
Six dead as Kyiv hit by largest ballistic missile attack of war with interceptor stock low
Jarring Video: South African Reveals What’s Actually Believed About Whites, And It Is Horrific
Muhammad Is The Top Baby Name For Boys In England And Wales For Third Year In A Row
James Carville, Dem With Deteriorating Mental State, Says CNN Should Have Aired Presidential Speech to Show Trump’s Deteriorating Mental State
‘Keep a low profile’: State Department warns Americans overseas they could be targeted
Authorities Identify Source of Nationwide Cyclospora Outbreak: Salad Distributer Used By Taco Bell
Body Cam Catches The View’s Sunny Hostin Trying to Use Her Status to Talk Cops Out of Arresting Her Son
Johnson warns America is in ‘battle’ against Marxism, calls for renewed focus on nation’s founding principles
Platner ally Troy Jackson closing in on Democratic Senate nod in key race to face Collins
Extreme Climate Model Scenario Was Widely Used Despite Being Impossible
Controversial program paying drug users for used syringes becomes permanent in NYC
Education Department Moves To Crack Down On Schools, Teachers Unions Protecting Sexual Predators
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
