Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Fight for Los Angeles mayor tightens up as Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt, and Nithya Raman make final pitch
Dem Mayor Offers Support to ‘Trans Period’ Event Featuring Free Undies
California GOP incumbents go to war in Trump loyalty test
Dem Gov Gets Rare Conservative Credit, Then Blows It With Embarrassing Victim Routine
NYC landlord pleads for help as ‘9-year-squatter’ continues to drain him dry in court saga: ‘Twilight Zone’
One southern city you’ve never heard of is growing faster than anywhere else in America
Retiring Senate Democrats open door to anti-filibuster successors
Ex-Iowa school superintendent sentenced to prison as an illegal alien found with firearms
Elderly couple fatally stabbed inside Queens apartment, no arrests made as investigation continues: report
ICE arrests illegal alien who allegedly faked asylum claim based on homosexuality, became Indiana jail officer
Hasan Piker says UK has barred him, trashes ‘unbelievable…power’ of pro-Israel groups
Pratt rallies supporters as Los Angeles mayoral race enters final stretch
Left-wing streamer blasts New Jersey governor over state police response at ICE facility protests
Man who warned coworkers ‘no one’s going home today’ gets prison term in fatal shooting
Scott Peterson’s longtime lawyer claims ‘new’ evidence could force courts to revisit his murder conviction
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Fight for Los Angeles mayor tightens up as Karen Bass, Spencer Pratt, and Nithya Raman make final pitch
Dem Mayor Offers Support to ‘Trans Period’ Event Featuring Free Undies
California GOP incumbents go to war in Trump loyalty test
Dem Gov Gets Rare Conservative Credit, Then Blows It With Embarrassing Victim Routine
NYC landlord pleads for help as ‘9-year-squatter’ continues to drain him dry in court saga: ‘Twilight Zone’
One southern city you’ve never heard of is growing faster than anywhere else in America
Retiring Senate Democrats open door to anti-filibuster successors
Ex-Iowa school superintendent sentenced to prison as an illegal alien found with firearms
Elderly couple fatally stabbed inside Queens apartment, no arrests made as investigation continues: report
ICE arrests illegal alien who allegedly faked asylum claim based on homosexuality, became Indiana jail officer
Hasan Piker says UK has barred him, trashes ‘unbelievable…power’ of pro-Israel groups
Pratt rallies supporters as Los Angeles mayoral race enters final stretch
Left-wing streamer blasts New Jersey governor over state police response at ICE facility protests
Man who warned coworkers ‘no one’s going home today’ gets prison term in fatal shooting
Scott Peterson’s longtime lawyer claims ‘new’ evidence could force courts to revisit his murder conviction
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
