Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
Bianco says ‘Democrat policy is indefensible’ as GOP candidates top California governor polling
Pima County sheriff warns in NBC interview DNA tech issues in Nancy Guthrie case may take ‘months’ to resolve
Newsom weighs in on social media age restrictions, citing experience as a parent: ‘We need help’
FBI investigates criminal damage to federal ICE warehouse facility in Arizona
Hours After Publicly Appearing With Newsom, CA High Speed Rail Chief Arrested on Suspicion of Spousal Battery
Trump pulls endorsement from GOP lawmaker over alleged lack of support for administration’s tariff agenda
Is a Donald J. Trump Airport on Its Way? Big Move from Trump Family Suggests It’s Coming
The Sting: How a DEA Supervisor Was Caught Getting Non-Americans Into the Country as Fake Law Enforcement Assets, According to Court Docs
Nancy Guthrie disappearance fuels rise of ‘mom detectives’ swapping tips and losing sleep
Colombian nationals allegedly ran fake law firm, impersonated federal judges to defraud migrants out of $100K
Mamdani promotes NYC where ‘every family can afford a home,’ rips ICE’s ‘cruelty’ amid budget blowback
Trump reveals his ‘new hero’ Supreme Court justice after tariffs ruling
Trump raises global tariff to 15%
Trump torches ‘stupid’ AOC’s Munich showing, tees up fresh fight with progressive Democrats
Labor Dept deploys ‘strike team’ to California over $21B unemployment debt, fraud concerns
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
Bianco says ‘Democrat policy is indefensible’ as GOP candidates top California governor polling
Pima County sheriff warns in NBC interview DNA tech issues in Nancy Guthrie case may take ‘months’ to resolve
Newsom weighs in on social media age restrictions, citing experience as a parent: ‘We need help’
FBI investigates criminal damage to federal ICE warehouse facility in Arizona
Hours After Publicly Appearing With Newsom, CA High Speed Rail Chief Arrested on Suspicion of Spousal Battery
Trump pulls endorsement from GOP lawmaker over alleged lack of support for administration’s tariff agenda
Is a Donald J. Trump Airport on Its Way? Big Move from Trump Family Suggests It’s Coming
The Sting: How a DEA Supervisor Was Caught Getting Non-Americans Into the Country as Fake Law Enforcement Assets, According to Court Docs
Nancy Guthrie disappearance fuels rise of ‘mom detectives’ swapping tips and losing sleep
Colombian nationals allegedly ran fake law firm, impersonated federal judges to defraud migrants out of $100K
Mamdani promotes NYC where ‘every family can afford a home,’ rips ICE’s ‘cruelty’ amid budget blowback
Trump reveals his ‘new hero’ Supreme Court justice after tariffs ruling
Trump raises global tariff to 15%
Trump torches ‘stupid’ AOC’s Munich showing, tees up fresh fight with progressive Democrats
Labor Dept deploys ‘strike team’ to California over $21B unemployment debt, fraud concerns
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.
