While it will hardly come as a surprise to anyone following China’s dismal attempts at reflating the economy, which on Monday we learned translated into the lowest Aggregate Financing print since the series was established…
Alexei Navalny’s widow demands ‘accountability’ for Putin after European leaders say husband was poisoned
Casey Wasserman to sell his talent agency after becoming ‘distraction’ due to Epstein files
Fetterman slams Democrats’ ‘Jim Crow 2.0’ voter ID rhetoric as party unity fractures
ICE officers face criminal probe for alleged ‘untruthful statements’ under oath about Minneapolis shooting
Heroic 12-Year-Old Tried to Save Classmates from Trans Mass Shooter: She’s in Critical Condition
Zelensky offers to ‘give a ceasefire to the Russians if they do elections’ in Munich plea
CNN’s Data Guru Reveals How the Far-Left Is Devouring Democratic Party
Microsoft AI Chief Says Artificial Intelligence Will Do Most White-Collar Work by Next Year
Cities Church Defendant Who Likes Terrorizing Christian Children Launches Bizarre Message Outside Courtroom
Rubio breaks with Vance in tone of Munich address and tells Europe ‘we belong together’
SWAT swarms locations near Nancy Guthrie’s home as DNA found on property
Jasmine Crockett: ‘If I Go to Sleep, Democracy Very Well May Die’
Top Goldman Sachs Lawyer Quits Over Epstein Relationship, Media Glosses Over Her Connection to Obama
Conservative firebrand launches ‘TruckSafe Tipline’ to report illegal drivers amid spike in highway deaths
‘It’s absurd’: DHS shutdown bears down on US as lawmakers jet off to Europe
Source: Bloomberg
… reaffirming Beijing’s impotence at stimulating the all-important credit impulse which is barely above cycle lows…
Alexei Navalny’s widow demands ‘accountability’ for Putin after European leaders say husband was poisoned
Casey Wasserman to sell his talent agency after becoming ‘distraction’ due to Epstein files
Fetterman slams Democrats’ ‘Jim Crow 2.0’ voter ID rhetoric as party unity fractures
ICE officers face criminal probe for alleged ‘untruthful statements’ under oath about Minneapolis shooting
Heroic 12-Year-Old Tried to Save Classmates from Trans Mass Shooter: She’s in Critical Condition
Zelensky offers to ‘give a ceasefire to the Russians if they do elections’ in Munich plea
CNN’s Data Guru Reveals How the Far-Left Is Devouring Democratic Party
Microsoft AI Chief Says Artificial Intelligence Will Do Most White-Collar Work by Next Year
Cities Church Defendant Who Likes Terrorizing Christian Children Launches Bizarre Message Outside Courtroom
Rubio breaks with Vance in tone of Munich address and tells Europe ‘we belong together’
SWAT swarms locations near Nancy Guthrie’s home as DNA found on property
Jasmine Crockett: ‘If I Go to Sleep, Democracy Very Well May Die’
Top Goldman Sachs Lawyer Quits Over Epstein Relationship, Media Glosses Over Her Connection to Obama
Conservative firebrand launches ‘TruckSafe Tipline’ to report illegal drivers amid spike in highway deaths
‘It’s absurd’: DHS shutdown bears down on US as lawmakers jet off to Europe
Source: Bloomberg
… tonight’s macro data dump from China is expected to show continued slowing from Q3’s disappointing GDP print.
Bloomberg Economics’ Chang Shu notes that the October activity data are likely to show weakness continuing to spread across China’s economy, as companies adjusted to an additional 15% U.S. tariffs on $110 billion of Chinese goods in September.
- China Industrial Production MEET +5.6% YoY vs +5.6% YoY Exp
- China Retail Sales MISS +7.2% YoY vs +7.8% Exp
- China Fixed Asset Investment MISS +5.2% YoY vs +5.4% Exp.
- China Property Investment FELL to +10.3% YoY from +10.5% YoY
- China Surveyed Jobless Rate FELL to 5.1% from 5.2%
Alexei Navalny’s widow demands ‘accountability’ for Putin after European leaders say husband was poisoned
Casey Wasserman to sell his talent agency after becoming ‘distraction’ due to Epstein files
Fetterman slams Democrats’ ‘Jim Crow 2.0’ voter ID rhetoric as party unity fractures
ICE officers face criminal probe for alleged ‘untruthful statements’ under oath about Minneapolis shooting
Heroic 12-Year-Old Tried to Save Classmates from Trans Mass Shooter: She’s in Critical Condition
Zelensky offers to ‘give a ceasefire to the Russians if they do elections’ in Munich plea
CNN’s Data Guru Reveals How the Far-Left Is Devouring Democratic Party
Microsoft AI Chief Says Artificial Intelligence Will Do Most White-Collar Work by Next Year
Cities Church Defendant Who Likes Terrorizing Christian Children Launches Bizarre Message Outside Courtroom
Rubio breaks with Vance in tone of Munich address and tells Europe ‘we belong together’
SWAT swarms locations near Nancy Guthrie’s home as DNA found on property
Jasmine Crockett: ‘If I Go to Sleep, Democracy Very Well May Die’
Top Goldman Sachs Lawyer Quits Over Epstein Relationship, Media Glosses Over Her Connection to Obama
Conservative firebrand launches ‘TruckSafe Tipline’ to report illegal drivers amid spike in highway deaths
‘It’s absurd’: DHS shutdown bears down on US as lawmakers jet off to Europe
This is the equal weakest retail sales growth since 2003 and weakest Fixed-Asset Investment growth since 1998..
Source: Bloomberg
This data confirms that China’s economy slowed further in October, signaling, as Bloomberg’s Miao Han notes, that policy makers’ piecemeal stimulus is failing to boost output and investment amid ongoing trade tensions with the U.S. and subdued domestic demand.
As a reminder, there was the surprising divergence in the two manufacturing PMI readings, with the “official” version weakening, and the Caixin-labeled version strengthening.
Alexei Navalny’s widow demands ‘accountability’ for Putin after European leaders say husband was poisoned
Casey Wasserman to sell his talent agency after becoming ‘distraction’ due to Epstein files
Fetterman slams Democrats’ ‘Jim Crow 2.0’ voter ID rhetoric as party unity fractures
ICE officers face criminal probe for alleged ‘untruthful statements’ under oath about Minneapolis shooting
Heroic 12-Year-Old Tried to Save Classmates from Trans Mass Shooter: She’s in Critical Condition
Zelensky offers to ‘give a ceasefire to the Russians if they do elections’ in Munich plea
CNN’s Data Guru Reveals How the Far-Left Is Devouring Democratic Party
Microsoft AI Chief Says Artificial Intelligence Will Do Most White-Collar Work by Next Year
Cities Church Defendant Who Likes Terrorizing Christian Children Launches Bizarre Message Outside Courtroom
Rubio breaks with Vance in tone of Munich address and tells Europe ‘we belong together’
SWAT swarms locations near Nancy Guthrie’s home as DNA found on property
Jasmine Crockett: ‘If I Go to Sleep, Democracy Very Well May Die’
Top Goldman Sachs Lawyer Quits Over Epstein Relationship, Media Glosses Over Her Connection to Obama
Conservative firebrand launches ‘TruckSafe Tipline’ to report illegal drivers amid spike in highway deaths
‘It’s absurd’: DHS shutdown bears down on US as lawmakers jet off to Europe
Source: Bloomberg
Dow futures are exuberantly surging overnight as yuan continues to slide – disagreeing vehemently over the chances of a US-China trade deal after their joint celebrations last week…
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, as we just noted, The National Institution for Finance and Development (NIFD) on Wednesday said that China’s economic growth rate will slow to 5.8% in 2020 from an estimated 6.1% this year, a number which is already quite ambitious, not to say artificially goalseeked.
Alexei Navalny’s widow demands ‘accountability’ for Putin after European leaders say husband was poisoned
Casey Wasserman to sell his talent agency after becoming ‘distraction’ due to Epstein files
Fetterman slams Democrats’ ‘Jim Crow 2.0’ voter ID rhetoric as party unity fractures
ICE officers face criminal probe for alleged ‘untruthful statements’ under oath about Minneapolis shooting
Heroic 12-Year-Old Tried to Save Classmates from Trans Mass Shooter: She’s in Critical Condition
Zelensky offers to ‘give a ceasefire to the Russians if they do elections’ in Munich plea
CNN’s Data Guru Reveals How the Far-Left Is Devouring Democratic Party
Microsoft AI Chief Says Artificial Intelligence Will Do Most White-Collar Work by Next Year
Cities Church Defendant Who Likes Terrorizing Christian Children Launches Bizarre Message Outside Courtroom
Rubio breaks with Vance in tone of Munich address and tells Europe ‘we belong together’
SWAT swarms locations near Nancy Guthrie’s home as DNA found on property
Jasmine Crockett: ‘If I Go to Sleep, Democracy Very Well May Die’
Top Goldman Sachs Lawyer Quits Over Epstein Relationship, Media Glosses Over Her Connection to Obama
Conservative firebrand launches ‘TruckSafe Tipline’ to report illegal drivers amid spike in highway deaths
‘It’s absurd’: DHS shutdown bears down on US as lawmakers jet off to Europe
This, as the SCMP notes, is at the bottom end of China’s target range of 6 to 6.5% growth for 2019, and further indicates the continued downward pressure on the economy from the trade war with the United States as well as domestic headwinds.
“The economic slowdown is already a trend,” said former central bank adviser Li Yang, who heads the institute that is affiliated to the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS).
“We must resort to deepened supply-side structural reform to change it or smooth the slowdown, rather than solely rely on monetary or fiscal stimulus.”
The institute’s forecast is in line with the International Monetary Fund, and indicates the challenge that policymakers face to achieve the above 6% growth rate needed in 2019 and 2020 to reach the government’s goal of doubling GDP in 2020 compared to its 2010 level.
As a reminder, a GDP growth rate below 6% would be the first time since the aftermath of the 1989 Tiananmen crackdown.
Finally, we note that Navarro and his trade hawks in the White House will be pleased at these weak numbers. President Trump has repeatedly said that China needs a deal more than the U.S. does, and these numbers as leverage in their negotiations.
Story cited here.
