Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 13 points nationally, but the incumbent is beating his 2016 numbers among African-American and Hispanic voters, according a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Tuesday.
The poll, which is the first head-to-head matchup conducted by Quinnipiac for the 2020 election cycle, shows Biden at 53 percent and Trump at 40 percent in a hypothetical general election. When broken down by gender, Biden leads Trump (60 percent to 34 percent) comfortably with women, but narrowly within the margin of error among men (47 percent to 46 percent). Caucasian voters are equally split among the two, but with Trump leading with 47 percent to Biden’s 46 percent.
When it comes to African-American and Hispanic voters, however, the poll shows Trump making a marked improvement over his 2016 numbers. Biden leads Trump 85 percent to 12 percent among African-Americans and 58 percent to 33 percent with Hispanics.
Late Breaking Video: Trump Announces Jerome Powell May Not Actually Be Fed Chair Since He Was Appointed Via Biden’s Autopen
US Chamber of Commerce accused of leading ‘woke corporate America’ as Trump dismantles DEI agenda
Alert: Cause of Death of Mitt Romney’s Sister-in-Law Revealed – Now We Likely Know Exactly Why It Happened, Too
Congressional Democrats widen 2026 battlefield, zero in on new House Republican targets
Charlie Kirk’s New Book Rockets to Top of Bestseller List on Day 1 – Publisher Scrambles to Print More Copies
Deep Dive: No, the Jews Do Not Teach Jesus Is Being Boiled in Filth as a Punishment
Minnesota college administrator accused of impeding ICE arrest to protect student sexual predator
Democrats set expanded targets after surprise victories in Florida and Georgia
Fugitive repeat offender keeps walking free as courts let him loose to hurt people, experts warn
Pro-Trump clerk convicted in 2020 election scheme threatened, attacked in prison, lawyer says
Thomas Massie introduces bill to pull US out of NATO: ‘America should not be the world’s security blanket’
Florida’s CAIR threatens lawsuit against DeSantis after he labels group a ‘foreign terrorist’ organization
Top US political figures lend legitimacy to Qatari forum allied with array of anti-American groups
3 people arrested after 7 Providence College students overdose at off-campus party
Trump says New York Times questioning his stamina could be ‘treasonous’
In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton garnered 88 percent of the African-American vote to Trump’s eight percent, as shown by exit polling data. Trump’s share of the African-American vote in that race surprised many because it was larger than the six percent Mitt Romney received in 2012. Some have attempted to downplay Trump’s success with the community by pointing out that overall turnout among African-Americans was lower in 2016 than 2012.
Likewise, the 33 percent Trump registered among Hispanics in the poll is significantly higher than the 28 percent he garnered in 2016—itself an improvement over Romney’s 2012 performance.
Trump posts similar numbers in head-to-head matchups against other 2020 competitors, like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, despite all of them leading him nationally. Of the Democrats included in the poll, Harris is the only one that holds Trump at his 2016 share among African-American voters.
Good news for the president, though, is he leads every single one of the Democrat hopefuls among non-college educated whites. Trump leads Biden, who has centered his presidential campaign on winning back such voters, by ten points (52 percent to 42 percent). Of the other candidates, only Sanders (40 percent) comes closest to Biden’s numbers with the demographic, but still loses to Trump (50 percent).
Late Breaking Video: Trump Announces Jerome Powell May Not Actually Be Fed Chair Since He Was Appointed Via Biden’s Autopen
US Chamber of Commerce accused of leading ‘woke corporate America’ as Trump dismantles DEI agenda
Alert: Cause of Death of Mitt Romney’s Sister-in-Law Revealed – Now We Likely Know Exactly Why It Happened, Too
Congressional Democrats widen 2026 battlefield, zero in on new House Republican targets
Charlie Kirk’s New Book Rockets to Top of Bestseller List on Day 1 – Publisher Scrambles to Print More Copies
Deep Dive: No, the Jews Do Not Teach Jesus Is Being Boiled in Filth as a Punishment
Minnesota college administrator accused of impeding ICE arrest to protect student sexual predator
Democrats set expanded targets after surprise victories in Florida and Georgia
Fugitive repeat offender keeps walking free as courts let him loose to hurt people, experts warn
Pro-Trump clerk convicted in 2020 election scheme threatened, attacked in prison, lawyer says
Thomas Massie introduces bill to pull US out of NATO: ‘America should not be the world’s security blanket’
Florida’s CAIR threatens lawsuit against DeSantis after he labels group a ‘foreign terrorist’ organization
Top US political figures lend legitimacy to Qatari forum allied with array of anti-American groups
3 people arrested after 7 Providence College students overdose at off-campus party
Trump says New York Times questioning his stamina could be ‘treasonous’
Such voters made Trump’s path to the White House possible in 2016, even though he ran a three-million popular vote deficit. Although the percent of non-college whites is decreasing nationally, the demographic is still a sizable population in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio—states that guarantee a Trump victory in the electoral college.
“It’s a long 17 months to Election Day, but Joe Biden is ahead by landslide proportions,” said Tim Malloy, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Quinnipiac obtained the results by surveying 1,214 voters nationwide from June 6 through June 10. There is a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
A similar poll conducted by Quinnipiac from May 2015 found Clinton leading Trump (50 percent to 32 percent) in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup.
Story cited here.
