Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 13 points nationally, but the incumbent is beating his 2016 numbers among African-American and Hispanic voters, according a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Tuesday.
The poll, which is the first head-to-head matchup conducted by Quinnipiac for the 2020 election cycle, shows Biden at 53 percent and Trump at 40 percent in a hypothetical general election. When broken down by gender, Biden leads Trump (60 percent to 34 percent) comfortably with women, but narrowly within the margin of error among men (47 percent to 46 percent). Caucasian voters are equally split among the two, but with Trump leading with 47 percent to Biden’s 46 percent.
When it comes to African-American and Hispanic voters, however, the poll shows Trump making a marked improvement over his 2016 numbers. Biden leads Trump 85 percent to 12 percent among African-Americans and 58 percent to 33 percent with Hispanics.
Watch: Desperate Jake Tapper Begs Ambassador to Plead His Case to Trump and Let CNN Back Into Press Pool, Gets Rejected Live on Air
Police: Man ‘Intentionally’ Drove Into Closed Texas Grocery Store to Use the Restroom
US announces all forces withdrawn from Iraq after 12-year anti-ISIS mission
Senate hopeful’s ‘treading water’ narrative crumbles under $500K campaign payouts to family
Woke NFL Asks DHS to Remove Hall of Fame Defender from Clip of Agency Vowing to Stop Migrant Caravan
Inside the neighborhood living on the edge of America’s tech frontier
Watch: Lindsay Clancy’s Defense Team Screams at Black Media Member While Entering Courthouse for Retrial Hearing
Liberal stronghold set to adopt eye-popping minimum wage amid business exodus
US faces another major Middle East troop withdrawal, but threat remains
Republicans worry they’ve ‘glossed over’ voters’ affordability concerns
John McGuire touts his Trump endorsement as safe red seat suddenly looks shakier
Ohio cancer patient sues hospital after surgeon allegedly amputated wrong leg
Utah man released after decades on death row as DNA evidence excludes him from 1985 killing
Repeat offender with lengthy rap sheet accused of gunning down Kentucky trooper during traffic stop
Eric Schmitt defends perjury trap airball at Jack Smith hearing: ‘Not a mistake’
In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton garnered 88 percent of the African-American vote to Trump’s eight percent, as shown by exit polling data. Trump’s share of the African-American vote in that race surprised many because it was larger than the six percent Mitt Romney received in 2012. Some have attempted to downplay Trump’s success with the community by pointing out that overall turnout among African-Americans was lower in 2016 than 2012.
Likewise, the 33 percent Trump registered among Hispanics in the poll is significantly higher than the 28 percent he garnered in 2016—itself an improvement over Romney’s 2012 performance.
Trump posts similar numbers in head-to-head matchups against other 2020 competitors, like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, despite all of them leading him nationally. Of the Democrats included in the poll, Harris is the only one that holds Trump at his 2016 share among African-American voters.
Good news for the president, though, is he leads every single one of the Democrat hopefuls among non-college educated whites. Trump leads Biden, who has centered his presidential campaign on winning back such voters, by ten points (52 percent to 42 percent). Of the other candidates, only Sanders (40 percent) comes closest to Biden’s numbers with the demographic, but still loses to Trump (50 percent).
Watch: Desperate Jake Tapper Begs Ambassador to Plead His Case to Trump and Let CNN Back Into Press Pool, Gets Rejected Live on Air
Police: Man ‘Intentionally’ Drove Into Closed Texas Grocery Store to Use the Restroom
US announces all forces withdrawn from Iraq after 12-year anti-ISIS mission
Senate hopeful’s ‘treading water’ narrative crumbles under $500K campaign payouts to family
Woke NFL Asks DHS to Remove Hall of Fame Defender from Clip of Agency Vowing to Stop Migrant Caravan
Inside the neighborhood living on the edge of America’s tech frontier
Watch: Lindsay Clancy’s Defense Team Screams at Black Media Member While Entering Courthouse for Retrial Hearing
Liberal stronghold set to adopt eye-popping minimum wage amid business exodus
US faces another major Middle East troop withdrawal, but threat remains
Republicans worry they’ve ‘glossed over’ voters’ affordability concerns
John McGuire touts his Trump endorsement as safe red seat suddenly looks shakier
Ohio cancer patient sues hospital after surgeon allegedly amputated wrong leg
Utah man released after decades on death row as DNA evidence excludes him from 1985 killing
Repeat offender with lengthy rap sheet accused of gunning down Kentucky trooper during traffic stop
Eric Schmitt defends perjury trap airball at Jack Smith hearing: ‘Not a mistake’
Such voters made Trump’s path to the White House possible in 2016, even though he ran a three-million popular vote deficit. Although the percent of non-college whites is decreasing nationally, the demographic is still a sizable population in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio—states that guarantee a Trump victory in the electoral college.
“It’s a long 17 months to Election Day, but Joe Biden is ahead by landslide proportions,” said Tim Malloy, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Quinnipiac obtained the results by surveying 1,214 voters nationwide from June 6 through June 10. There is a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
A similar poll conducted by Quinnipiac from May 2015 found Clinton leading Trump (50 percent to 32 percent) in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup.
Story cited here.
