Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 13 points nationally, but the incumbent is beating his 2016 numbers among African-American and Hispanic voters, according a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Tuesday.
The poll, which is the first head-to-head matchup conducted by Quinnipiac for the 2020 election cycle, shows Biden at 53 percent and Trump at 40 percent in a hypothetical general election. When broken down by gender, Biden leads Trump (60 percent to 34 percent) comfortably with women, but narrowly within the margin of error among men (47 percent to 46 percent). Caucasian voters are equally split among the two, but with Trump leading with 47 percent to Biden’s 46 percent.
When it comes to African-American and Hispanic voters, however, the poll shows Trump making a marked improvement over his 2016 numbers. Biden leads Trump 85 percent to 12 percent among African-Americans and 58 percent to 33 percent with Hispanics.
Soros-backed DA accused of going easy on illegal immigrants gets squeezed by House GOP
House Dem Debbie Dingell places Trump’s Lake Ontario name change in the crosshairs
Maine and Georgia could test whether ticket-splitting is making a comeback
Dems derided Trump’s midterm gamble — until he ended up winning big
Mail-voting crackdown moves ahead as Trump court win opens door to federal action
Brutal Cheap Shot: Video Captures Amazon Driver Sucker Punching Elderly Man Over Parking Dispute
Brexit isn’t what’s dragging Britain down
There’s little brilliant about Netflix’s ‘My Brilliant Career’
Norway’s King Harald dies peacefully at 89, son Crown Prince Haakon to succeed him
New Hampshire man allegedly steals rescue truck from firefighters battling his burning home
Federal judge again blocks Trump’s mail ballot order just before midterms
California authorities identify final unknown victim of ‘Happy Face Killer’ Keith Jesperson after 34 years
New York Gov Hochul rejects Trump’s ‘Lake America’ renaming with blunt message
Maine meteorologist suffers giggle attack on live TV after prank backfires spectacularly
Defense Claims Lindsay Clancy ‘Never Did Anything Wrong in Her Life’ in Closing Argument
In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton garnered 88 percent of the African-American vote to Trump’s eight percent, as shown by exit polling data. Trump’s share of the African-American vote in that race surprised many because it was larger than the six percent Mitt Romney received in 2012. Some have attempted to downplay Trump’s success with the community by pointing out that overall turnout among African-Americans was lower in 2016 than 2012.
Likewise, the 33 percent Trump registered among Hispanics in the poll is significantly higher than the 28 percent he garnered in 2016—itself an improvement over Romney’s 2012 performance.
Trump posts similar numbers in head-to-head matchups against other 2020 competitors, like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, despite all of them leading him nationally. Of the Democrats included in the poll, Harris is the only one that holds Trump at his 2016 share among African-American voters.
Good news for the president, though, is he leads every single one of the Democrat hopefuls among non-college educated whites. Trump leads Biden, who has centered his presidential campaign on winning back such voters, by ten points (52 percent to 42 percent). Of the other candidates, only Sanders (40 percent) comes closest to Biden’s numbers with the demographic, but still loses to Trump (50 percent).
Soros-backed DA accused of going easy on illegal immigrants gets squeezed by House GOP
House Dem Debbie Dingell places Trump’s Lake Ontario name change in the crosshairs
Maine and Georgia could test whether ticket-splitting is making a comeback
Dems derided Trump’s midterm gamble — until he ended up winning big
Mail-voting crackdown moves ahead as Trump court win opens door to federal action
Brutal Cheap Shot: Video Captures Amazon Driver Sucker Punching Elderly Man Over Parking Dispute
Brexit isn’t what’s dragging Britain down
There’s little brilliant about Netflix’s ‘My Brilliant Career’
Norway’s King Harald dies peacefully at 89, son Crown Prince Haakon to succeed him
New Hampshire man allegedly steals rescue truck from firefighters battling his burning home
Federal judge again blocks Trump’s mail ballot order just before midterms
California authorities identify final unknown victim of ‘Happy Face Killer’ Keith Jesperson after 34 years
New York Gov Hochul rejects Trump’s ‘Lake America’ renaming with blunt message
Maine meteorologist suffers giggle attack on live TV after prank backfires spectacularly
Defense Claims Lindsay Clancy ‘Never Did Anything Wrong in Her Life’ in Closing Argument
Such voters made Trump’s path to the White House possible in 2016, even though he ran a three-million popular vote deficit. Although the percent of non-college whites is decreasing nationally, the demographic is still a sizable population in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio—states that guarantee a Trump victory in the electoral college.
“It’s a long 17 months to Election Day, but Joe Biden is ahead by landslide proportions,” said Tim Malloy, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Quinnipiac obtained the results by surveying 1,214 voters nationwide from June 6 through June 10. There is a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
A similar poll conducted by Quinnipiac from May 2015 found Clinton leading Trump (50 percent to 32 percent) in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup.
Story cited here.
