Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by 13 points nationally, but the incumbent is beating his 2016 numbers among African-American and Hispanic voters, according a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Tuesday.
The poll, which is the first head-to-head matchup conducted by Quinnipiac for the 2020 election cycle, shows Biden at 53 percent and Trump at 40 percent in a hypothetical general election. When broken down by gender, Biden leads Trump (60 percent to 34 percent) comfortably with women, but narrowly within the margin of error among men (47 percent to 46 percent). Caucasian voters are equally split among the two, but with Trump leading with 47 percent to Biden’s 46 percent.
When it comes to African-American and Hispanic voters, however, the poll shows Trump making a marked improvement over his 2016 numbers. Biden leads Trump 85 percent to 12 percent among African-Americans and 58 percent to 33 percent with Hispanics.
Senator John Kennedy introduces America to ‘Margaret,’ his elliptical trainer named after Thatcher
Waymo driverless cars overrun Atlanta neighborhood, circling cul-de-sacs and alarming families with kids
Lithuania and Poland forecast ‘military aid’ to help open Strait of Hormuz amid denials of US troop reductions in region
From Revival to Reformation: Why I’m Running for Governor of California
Here’s Where the Redistricting Wars Stand as the 2026 Midterms Approach
Trump Urged to Address Plight of Persecuted Chinese Minorities During Beijing Visit
In the Battle for School Choice, Families Get Stuck in the Middle
Fox News Campus Radicals Newsletter: Detransitioner drama, sex toy giveaways, shocking bathroom find
Former Christian school teacher sentenced after pleading guilty to child seduction charge
Colorado governor commutes Tina Peters’ sentence as Trump posts ‘FREE TINA!’
Supreme Court deals blow to Virginia Democrats in fight over state court ruling
Eric Trump Announces Lawsuit Against Jen Psaki, MS NOW for ‘Blatant Lies’ About China Business Ties
Navy veteran Rocky Rochford seeks to turn Tampa Bay red, unseat 20-year House incumbent
Trump Reveals Waterfront Site for Long-Planned National Garden of American Heroes
Minnesota Medicaid operator’s bankruptcy-to-riches rise crashes into fraud probe
In 2016, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton garnered 88 percent of the African-American vote to Trump’s eight percent, as shown by exit polling data. Trump’s share of the African-American vote in that race surprised many because it was larger than the six percent Mitt Romney received in 2012. Some have attempted to downplay Trump’s success with the community by pointing out that overall turnout among African-Americans was lower in 2016 than 2012.
Likewise, the 33 percent Trump registered among Hispanics in the poll is significantly higher than the 28 percent he garnered in 2016—itself an improvement over Romney’s 2012 performance.
Trump posts similar numbers in head-to-head matchups against other 2020 competitors, like Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT), South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN), Sen. Kamala Harris (D-CA), and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, despite all of them leading him nationally. Of the Democrats included in the poll, Harris is the only one that holds Trump at his 2016 share among African-American voters.
Good news for the president, though, is he leads every single one of the Democrat hopefuls among non-college educated whites. Trump leads Biden, who has centered his presidential campaign on winning back such voters, by ten points (52 percent to 42 percent). Of the other candidates, only Sanders (40 percent) comes closest to Biden’s numbers with the demographic, but still loses to Trump (50 percent).
Senator John Kennedy introduces America to ‘Margaret,’ his elliptical trainer named after Thatcher
Waymo driverless cars overrun Atlanta neighborhood, circling cul-de-sacs and alarming families with kids
Lithuania and Poland forecast ‘military aid’ to help open Strait of Hormuz amid denials of US troop reductions in region
From Revival to Reformation: Why I’m Running for Governor of California
Here’s Where the Redistricting Wars Stand as the 2026 Midterms Approach
Trump Urged to Address Plight of Persecuted Chinese Minorities During Beijing Visit
In the Battle for School Choice, Families Get Stuck in the Middle
Fox News Campus Radicals Newsletter: Detransitioner drama, sex toy giveaways, shocking bathroom find
Former Christian school teacher sentenced after pleading guilty to child seduction charge
Colorado governor commutes Tina Peters’ sentence as Trump posts ‘FREE TINA!’
Supreme Court deals blow to Virginia Democrats in fight over state court ruling
Eric Trump Announces Lawsuit Against Jen Psaki, MS NOW for ‘Blatant Lies’ About China Business Ties
Navy veteran Rocky Rochford seeks to turn Tampa Bay red, unseat 20-year House incumbent
Trump Reveals Waterfront Site for Long-Planned National Garden of American Heroes
Minnesota Medicaid operator’s bankruptcy-to-riches rise crashes into fraud probe
Such voters made Trump’s path to the White House possible in 2016, even though he ran a three-million popular vote deficit. Although the percent of non-college whites is decreasing nationally, the demographic is still a sizable population in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Ohio—states that guarantee a Trump victory in the electoral college.
“It’s a long 17 months to Election Day, but Joe Biden is ahead by landslide proportions,” said Tim Malloy, the assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.
Quinnipiac obtained the results by surveying 1,214 voters nationwide from June 6 through June 10. There is a margin of error of +/- 3.5 percent.
A similar poll conducted by Quinnipiac from May 2015 found Clinton leading Trump (50 percent to 32 percent) in a hypothetical head-to-head matchup.
Story cited here.
