Update: The May contract for U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil (CL=F), which expires on Tuesday, erased all value and dropped below zero for the first time in history.
For decades, oil bears have made grand claims about oil prices crashing to $1. It was never really a claim that industry professionals would take seriously, with most observers viewing it either as fear-mongering or hyperbole.
On Monday the 20th of April 2020, WTI front-month contracts fell to the $1 handle. When you take into account both inflation and global breakeven prices – this truly is a historic day for oil. While some producers around the world – Saudi Arabia most notably – may claim to be able to produce oil at this price, the true breakeven price for every IOC and NOC globally is significantly above $1 and generally accepted to be $50+.
Some analysts have been calling for sub-$10 prices since the OPEC+ meeting was first announced. The fundamentals, they argued, were outside of the control of any oil cartel. Now, with no end in sight for the near-global quarantine caused by COVID-19 and oil storage nearing capacity, demand has all but dried up.
Dolly Parton refused to pick political sides for decades: ‘I’m not in politics, I’m an entertainer’
Surrogate, California couple clash in court as newborn fights for life after heart surgery
Hochul remains defiant after sheriffs sue over law banning cooperation with ICE: ‘Bring it on’
Attempted drone incursion at Virginia prison leads to $324K contraband haul with meth, 17 cellphones
Progressives rage after Democrats tap pro-Israel Moskowitz for key Middle East post
Deportees Sent to Tiny African Nation After Refusing to Get Off Plane
Reporter Loses Credential After Bizarre Courtroom Behavior During Lindsay Clancy Trial
US Tells Ukraine to Hold Its Fire as CIA Director Makes Secret Trip to Moscow
Target Apologizes, Pulls Halloween Costume After Blackface Complaints – Do You Think It’s Offensive?
Karen Bass skips out on multiple LAHSA meetings despite homelessness being central to reelection campaign
Fox News Names New Co-Host for ‘The Five’
Clinton-appointed judge triggers appeal after blocking key voter citizenship law
Newsom promises new legal fight after Trump gets Supreme Court victory on mail-in voting
Family Sues Six Flags After 22-Year-Old Dies from Roller Coaster Injuries
Former SPLC chief financial officer pleads not guilty in donor fraud case
Meanwhile, some oil blends in Canada have fallen into negative territory, meaning producers would have to pay to give their barrels away.
While WTI for May delivery was down by over 90 percent, June delivery was only down 10 percent. Brent on the other hand, which is already trading on the June contract, is down by less than 6 percent, suggesting that it is fears of U.S. storage capacity that are dragging on prices.
It is unclear at this point just how low oil prices will fall or whether there is any intervention large enough to turn this around in the short term. Nymex CME will now allow traders to negatively price for May futures. The mid- to long-term impact on oil prices is likely to be equally catastrophic, with bankruptcies and financial ruin setting markets up for a supply shortage and dramatic price spike.
For everyone from oil companies to industry professionals and even gasoline consumers, a stable oil price is always preferable to volatility and rock-bottom prices.
Story cited here.
