Update: The May contract for U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil (CL=F), which expires on Tuesday, erased all value and dropped below zero for the first time in history.
For decades, oil bears have made grand claims about oil prices crashing to $1. It was never really a claim that industry professionals would take seriously, with most observers viewing it either as fear-mongering or hyperbole.
On Monday the 20th of April 2020, WTI front-month contracts fell to the $1 handle. When you take into account both inflation and global breakeven prices – this truly is a historic day for oil. While some producers around the world – Saudi Arabia most notably – may claim to be able to produce oil at this price, the true breakeven price for every IOC and NOC globally is significantly above $1 and generally accepted to be $50+.
Some analysts have been calling for sub-$10 prices since the OPEC+ meeting was first announced. The fundamentals, they argued, were outside of the control of any oil cartel. Now, with no end in sight for the near-global quarantine caused by COVID-19 and oil storage nearing capacity, demand has all but dried up.
Why Does the Media Care That Has-Beens Are Withdrawing From ‘Freedom 250’ DC Event?
Watch: Mysterious Strangers Pile Out of Sewer Manhole, Prompts Police Investigation
Anti-ICE agitator charged with allegedly biting officers during Delaney Hall clashes
Buyer’s Remorse: The Democratic Party’s Radical Lurch and the Reckoning It Invited In
Six Tax Tips You Should Start Thinking About Now
Mackenzie Shirilla’s texts surface as ‘hell on wheels’ driver’s appeal collides with Netflix’s ‘The Crash’
Bessent readies Trump $250 bill as one big hurdle stands between Treasury and making it reality
How a Rhodes Scholar with ties to Cuba’s president organized the convoy that brought Hasan Piker to Havana
The celeb endorsements boosting Spencer Pratt’s chances of becoming the next LA mayor
Investigators to comb Brian and Lynette Hooker’s sailboat and new search zone in Bahamas disappearance
Sally Field, you deserve better than this
Trump declared ‘fully fit’ for all presidential duties after annual physical shows ‘excellent health’
Donna Brazile brushes off Biden’s stroke fears, says Democrats must ‘focus on the future’
‘Spokane 3’ protesters convicted on federal conspiracy charges for blocking ICE transfer in Washington
Eight riders left dangling atop 100-foot roller coaster for over three hours at Texas amusement park
Meanwhile, some oil blends in Canada have fallen into negative territory, meaning producers would have to pay to give their barrels away.
While WTI for May delivery was down by over 90 percent, June delivery was only down 10 percent. Brent on the other hand, which is already trading on the June contract, is down by less than 6 percent, suggesting that it is fears of U.S. storage capacity that are dragging on prices.
It is unclear at this point just how low oil prices will fall or whether there is any intervention large enough to turn this around in the short term. Nymex CME will now allow traders to negatively price for May futures. The mid- to long-term impact on oil prices is likely to be equally catastrophic, with bankruptcies and financial ruin setting markets up for a supply shortage and dramatic price spike.
For everyone from oil companies to industry professionals and even gasoline consumers, a stable oil price is always preferable to volatility and rock-bottom prices.
Story cited here.
