Update: The May contract for U.S. West Texas intermediate crude oil (CL=F), which expires on Tuesday, erased all value and dropped below zero for the first time in history.
For decades, oil bears have made grand claims about oil prices crashing to $1. It was never really a claim that industry professionals would take seriously, with most observers viewing it either as fear-mongering or hyperbole.
On Monday the 20th of April 2020, WTI front-month contracts fell to the $1 handle. When you take into account both inflation and global breakeven prices – this truly is a historic day for oil. While some producers around the world – Saudi Arabia most notably – may claim to be able to produce oil at this price, the true breakeven price for every IOC and NOC globally is significantly above $1 and generally accepted to be $50+.
Some analysts have been calling for sub-$10 prices since the OPEC+ meeting was first announced. The fundamentals, they argued, were outside of the control of any oil cartel. Now, with no end in sight for the near-global quarantine caused by COVID-19 and oil storage nearing capacity, demand has all but dried up.
Hospitals Promised Less Expensive Care After Merging Into Behemoths – the Opposite Happened
Bad News Across the Country for Dems Desperately Trying to Redistrict Before the Midterms
Trump warns judge against sacrificing national security by blocking White House ballroom, drone base
Why NATO’s defense spending imbalance lasted for decades
Trump expands Turkey ambassador’s diplomatic role, adding Iraq, Syria amid Middle East tensions
Does China Have The Upper Hand?
NHL Legend Hangs Himself: Report
Graham Platner’s wife campaign video statement responding to infidelity allegations widely panned by critics
Agitators outside Delaney Hall set up organized logistics operation before Newark protests began
Leftists Host Striptease Fundraiser to Support Antifa Terrorists Behind Shooting at ICE Detention Facility in 2025
Arizona school board member gets backlash after mocking board president with Nazi salute
Trump calls on all future candidates to take cognitive exam, noting perfect score during latest physical
Infected Lab Monkey Bites Government Employee in the US, GOP Senator Demands Investigation
FBI hunts most wanted neighbor next door who allegedly faked cancer, scammed loved ones for luxury getaways
E. Jean Carroll is a mess for the administration that won’t go away
Meanwhile, some oil blends in Canada have fallen into negative territory, meaning producers would have to pay to give their barrels away.
While WTI for May delivery was down by over 90 percent, June delivery was only down 10 percent. Brent on the other hand, which is already trading on the June contract, is down by less than 6 percent, suggesting that it is fears of U.S. storage capacity that are dragging on prices.
It is unclear at this point just how low oil prices will fall or whether there is any intervention large enough to turn this around in the short term. Nymex CME will now allow traders to negatively price for May futures. The mid- to long-term impact on oil prices is likely to be equally catastrophic, with bankruptcies and financial ruin setting markets up for a supply shortage and dramatic price spike.
For everyone from oil companies to industry professionals and even gasoline consumers, a stable oil price is always preferable to volatility and rock-bottom prices.
Story cited here.
