Vice President Kamala Harris received a honeymoon polling boost, giving her higher shares in every swing state.
By early July, former President Donald Trump had a major lead over President Joe Biden in every swing state, sending panic throughout the Democratic ranks. This panic led to pressure that forced Biden out of the race, replacing him with Harris. Following a week of positive press coverage, Harris experienced a honeymoon bump in the polls, closing or even surpassing Trump’s lead in several swing states, according to a recent Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll.
The new poll, taken from July 24 through 28, found Harris was leading in Arizona by two points; in Nevada by two points; in Wisconsin by two points, and in Michigan by 11 points. Trump was up by four points in Pennsylvania and two points in North Carolina, and the two were tied in Georgia.
The poll surveyed 4,973 registered voters in seven swing states, with differing sample sizes in each, including 804 in Arizona, 799 in Georgia, 706 in Michigan, 454 in Nevada, 706 in North Carolina, 804 in Pennsylvania, and 700 in Wisconsin.
Some Republican figures, including pollster Richard Baris and GOP strategist Ryan Girdusky, criticized the poll results.
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“It’s bad methodology. Small samples. Wild swings and wide margins between similar states aren’t real,” Baris argued.
Nevertheless, the poll reflects the improving chances of Harris following the official launch of her campaign. While still trailing Trump in most polls, she has largely closed the significant gap that had formed after Biden’s shaky debate performance on June 27.
