Appearing Monday on AM 1030 KVOI Radio, Dr. Robert Redfield, the Director of the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), predicted that the death toll from the Chinese coronavirus will be “much, much, much lower” than the models have projected due to Americans following social distancing recommendations.
‘Christian’ University Under Fire Over Grant to ‘Foster Inclusion’ of ‘LGBTQIA+ Individuals and Women’ in the Church
WaPo Defends Alleged Hounding of Intel Officials: Tulsi’s ODNI Strikes Back with Cutting 3-Word Response
Xi Jinping’s surprise no-show at BRICS Summit fuels speculation about China’s global standing
Trump on a roll, back-to-back victory weeks: White House Report Card
North Carolina governor vetoes Republican-led anti DEI and trans legislation
Parents desperately seeking answers on missing campers after Texas flood
Republicans praise ‘big, beautiful bill’s’ work requirement for Medicaid: ‘We’ve got to get back to work’
Revolting: Pop Star Laughs and Sings About Murdering ‘4 or 5’ of Her Own Children Via Abortion
Past Comments Come Back to Bite Hakeem Jeffries After Record-Setting ‘Filibuster’
One dead after fireworks explosion sets Los Angeles home on fire
Trump White House calls out Smithsonian for pushing ‘one-sided, divisive political narratives’
Deadly social media trend threatens kids, homeowners defending themselves: ‘children are going to get killed’
Where the ceasefire negotiations stand ahead of Trump-Netanyahu meeting
NYC temporarily shuts down Queens beaches after sharks swim dangerously close to Fourth of July crowd
Human remains discovered days after devastating California fireworks facility explosion
HOST: We were talking about some of the models, whether it’s from the imperial college guy in England or the University of Washington. Thank god some of these numbers are falling short of some of these catastrophic numbers. Tell me about the dynamic of the modeling and how it helps and influences decision making and then, when the reality comes in, how does the decision making transform?
DR. ROBERT REDFIELD: I think it’s really important. First, models are only as good as their assumptions. Obviously, there was a lot unknown about this virus. The ability to actively make a lot of assumptions was much wider than if this was an Influenza B outbreak. Second thing, I will say from a public health perspective, to me, the real value of models is to have a model and then try to understand — if I invest resources here, what does that do to the model? If I invest in intervention strategies here, what does that do to the model? It’s a way of beta testing how you’re going to respond and what it does to the different models. And models should never be used to assume that we have a number. You saw those numbers are quite staggering. You’ve got 200,000 to 2 million Americans are losing their lives before the fall. That’s a pretty staggering number.
HOST: Are throwing those kind of numbers out actually helpful because what they do is scare the hell out of everyone to social distance? Is that the purpose?
‘Christian’ University Under Fire Over Grant to ‘Foster Inclusion’ of ‘LGBTQIA+ Individuals and Women’ in the Church
WaPo Defends Alleged Hounding of Intel Officials: Tulsi’s ODNI Strikes Back with Cutting 3-Word Response
Xi Jinping’s surprise no-show at BRICS Summit fuels speculation about China’s global standing
Trump on a roll, back-to-back victory weeks: White House Report Card
North Carolina governor vetoes Republican-led anti DEI and trans legislation
Parents desperately seeking answers on missing campers after Texas flood
Republicans praise ‘big, beautiful bill’s’ work requirement for Medicaid: ‘We’ve got to get back to work’
Revolting: Pop Star Laughs and Sings About Murdering ‘4 or 5’ of Her Own Children Via Abortion
Past Comments Come Back to Bite Hakeem Jeffries After Record-Setting ‘Filibuster’
One dead after fireworks explosion sets Los Angeles home on fire
Trump White House calls out Smithsonian for pushing ‘one-sided, divisive political narratives’
Deadly social media trend threatens kids, homeowners defending themselves: ‘children are going to get killed’
Where the ceasefire negotiations stand ahead of Trump-Netanyahu meeting
NYC temporarily shuts down Queens beaches after sharks swim dangerously close to Fourth of July crowd
Human remains discovered days after devastating California fireworks facility explosion
DR. REDFIELD: I think different people may look at it in different ways in terms of transparency. CDC had models early on. We didn’t really publicize the models. We used them internally to understand deviation strategies. I think part of the importance of getting the American public’s attention that these models did, we really need the American public to be fully engaged now with great rigor and vigilance on the social distancing. As you pointed out, those models that were done, they assume only about 50 percent of the American public would pay attention to the recommendations. In fact, what we’re seeing is a large majority of the American public are taking the social distancing recommendations to heart. And I think that’s the direct consequence of why you’re seeing the numbers are going to be much, much, much lower than would have been predicted by the models.
Story cited here.